30
April
2021

April 2021

100% SURE THAT WISENOSES WHO DON'T PREPARE NOW, WILL BE LATE.

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com] [Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]
physical: add up to $200 per oz. for physical add up to $11 per oz. Are you still Paper Gold?
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  • Candle (and often also PF-charts may be updated at all times, even if not mentioned in the "Updated Sections" - do check the charts in the sections.
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Friday, April 30, 2021 - What is actually best to buy as Physical Gold & Silver to protect your assets and safeguard your purchasing power?


Updated Sections: ,

Gold Marlins 1 oz 2021What is actually best to buy as Physical Gold & Silver to protect your assets and safeguard your purchasing power? The range of physical products goes from 'Shot, bars, 1 oz. Combi-bars." to coins. There are plenty of coins to chose from, from regular coins with no numismatic value to coins with numismatic value and collection items.

Advised is to buy coins with numismatic value. This is because transport across national borders will be safer and the odds of confiscation are reduced. A country will avoid the confiscation of its own (money) because this undermines confidence in the national currency. (examples are Maples, Eagles,...) Kruger rands have no numismatic value and are best avoided.

Note: during the 1930s' (before WW2) it was a criminal offense to leave Germany with Gold and or Silver. Those who were caught risked being sent to extermination camps or were executed.

Numismatic coins cost slightly more than gold bars because, in addition to the gold price, one also pays for the cost of minting the coins. Moreover, on top of this price, there is often a 'premium' which is the result of supply and demand. This basic premium is determined by the market. As a rule, the premium (can become a collection premium) increases as the coin gets older. This price increase is due to the collection premium. A 2018 Golden Eagle trades at a higher premium (base + collection premium) than a 2021 Golden Eagle.

Price of a coin = price of gold/silver + minting cost + premium + collection premium.

The basic premium increases when the demand for gold coins increases due to economic and financial conditions (fear). At that time we often get a shortage of Gold and Silver coins and this shortage has a direct impact on the final price. In other words, the basic premium increases. However, people often forget that premiums can only go up so high and that at the final price peak they sometimes become "negative". This was for example the case in 1980 when the silver price hit a record of $50 per oz.

Once the premium becomes too high, the demand for coins can weaken. At that point, people prefer to buy gold or silver Shot. Important, however, is to understand Gresham's law and that the BAD money (Banknotes, deposits) chases away the good money (Gold, Silver)

"Gresham's law is a monetary principle stating that "bad money drives out good".

This brings us to collector coins. During more or less normal times, collector coins (e.g. Saint-Gaudens) usually cost more than common coins. This is because on top of the gold price a collection or antique value has to be paid. This collectors & antique premium can be higher than the gold price. It is therefore easy to understand that in turbulent times, times when the price of gold (and silver) rises sharply, the demand for this type of coin decreases sharply and that the collectors' premium disappears altogether.

Citizens prefer coins with a relatively lower premium. Indeed, in case of forced sale or if the coin is used for barter, only the gold price (or silver price) is paid at that time. Again, the premium (price on top of the gold or silver price) then often goes up in smoke.

Only for subscribers

Conclusion:

  • The best is not to buy bars.newlock

Important Fundamentals:

  • The times of PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION are GONE!  This is the time to put your eggs in one basket only!
  • Goldman Sachs expects global oil demand to realize the biggest jump ever over the next six months, the investment bank said on Wednesday, keeping its bullish forecasts for oil prices this summer. This will push up the oil price up to around $80 per barrel.
  • Britain's largest pension fund (No. 6 in the world) warns clients that withdrawing money has a 95-day wait, literally talking about possible insolvency.
  • Brace for MORE and HIGH, DEVASTATING INFLATION.
newlock newlock
The fundamentals of Miners are EXCELLENT. Very BULLISH. Commodity prices jumped by 50% and the cost of container shipping jumped by 100%.
newlock newlock
Stocks have NEVER been so expensive. This is how many Silver coins buy an average house.

Important Technicals:

  •  This time, because STOCKS are OVERBOUGHT and the Gold sector OVERSOLD,  during the next correction, we may see LOWER stocks together with HIGHER Gold & Silver.

newlock

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Wednesday/Thursday, April 28-29, 2021 - The beginning of the end of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies.


Updated Sections: The Gold pool, Corporate Bonds,

This is only the very BEGINNING of the Great Depression of the 21st Century!

They can’t milk COVID fear forever. They themselves admit it. There’s COVID fatigue. There’s a definitive ending to the pandemic. It’ll taper off to a point that it’s not a problem anymore. The COVID lockdowns and hysteria however will be transferred to “climate change” once this passes.

Will Biden's Capital Gains Tax Take the Markets Down? In a speech to Congress, Biden is likely to detail the tax plan he outlined during his campaign. Reports suggest that the capital gains tax rate on people earning more than $1 million a year would increase from 20% to 39.6%. That would be the highest tax rate on investment gains since the 1920s, with the expected tax increases going to pay for proposed education and antipoverty programs.

taxes biden trump 2021 04 25

“If they eliminate capital gains, I don’t care if you are Republican or Democrat, you are going to have to sell. Your accountant is going to say if you don’t sell, you going to pay twice or three times as much in taxes next year. So, they can create a serious, serious collapse in the world economy. This is in addition to all this Covid nonsense that they have created.”

Biden is the straw that broke the camel’s back. People are now seeing that things are going to cost more in the future than they do today. They have also created shortages because of these lockdowns. Inflation is just beginning to start now. It’s based on COVID-shortages, and it will continue going into about 2024.”

We are looking at the prospect of a serious war between 2024 and 2027. All because of this great reset nonsense. They have been using the Corona Virus as an excuse to try and shut down the economy. If you look at rents in New York City, they are in a freefall.


A conservative target for the price of Gold - Soon the price of Gold (Silver) will spike, show its natural value.

Note the basic trend and the RIGGED (manipulated trend). A return to the BASIC-log-paralleled upper channel trend is to be expected. Remember at all times that GOLD IS MONEY and that therefore 'in the end' the value of FIAT currencies always ends as ZERO. Therefore, one must buy and hold physical Gold & Silver until AFTER the Fiat currencies become worthless.

Important: the longer the price of Gold (Silver) is suppressed, the stronger it will spike once the rigging stops working.

Gold Target apr 2021

Only for subscribers

"It’s artificially propped up, and when the markets crash, the reality will be felt."

newlock

Important Fundamentals:

  • As for bond bubbles, one only has to look at the $18T+ levels of negative-yielding bonds in the global market to plainly see bond over-valuation at levels which capital markets have never seen before. But as for bond risk, that too is no secret or mystery, yet one which remains eerily ignored in what Grantham (and ourselves) describes as the “market hysteria” of the current moment.
  • With central bankers now following the lead of Alan Greenspan (the author of the current “everything bubble” and “everything bust” to come) printing trillions of increasingly debased dollars, Yen's, Pounds, Swiss francs, and Euro's to purchase otherwise unwanted bonds, the net result has been a world in which bond yields are all but extinct creatures.
  • Shares of newlock

Important Technicals:

  • U.S. Stocks continue to hover into Topping Range while MODERN Bell-boys, Taxi drivers, and Shoe Shiners continue to sell the “best deals in town” and how to get rich fast. Just like happened in the 1920's right before the BIG CRASH. 
  • The following video explains the short-term impact maturing Options have on the short-term price formation of Gold & Silver.

newlock

 

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Monday/Tuesday, April 27-28, 2021 - The potential for hyperinflation and civil unrest is now very high.


Updated Sections: Bonds general & USA, Treasuries in the EU,

The Miracle recovery is a political narrative that will not become reality...on the contrary. Democrats are living up to their socialist bent. After all, Socialists do not permit competing parties. Once leaders such as Lenin and Castro took over, their opposition was neutralized. Whatever the parties are called, is absolutely irrelevant. 

The Middle Class in America and the EUSSR is disappearing.  This is the ultimate ENDGAME when Joe-sixpack and Jane Doe suddenly can't afford to eat and pay rent or the mortgage, you will see major civil unrest, rioting, revolt,...every student of history knows this is the standard scenario that happens over and over again throughout history.

It's all about HOCG and LOCG …LOCG (low order consumer goods) - price-Hyperinflation will occur in most commodities including food, oil, hard assets, and especially gold and silver. The cost of living and especially food prices will rise dramatically. At the same time, many people will lose their jobs. Pensions and social security payments will not in any way keep up with inflation and many people will sadly be destitute. 

HOCG (high order capital goods) - Bubble assets like stocks, bonds, and property on the other hand will see price-deflation – at least in real terms. Real terms mean measured in constant purchasing power like gold.

MASSIVE WEALTH DESTRUCTION (also) FOR THE WEALTHY. The deflation or collapse of bubble asset prices like stocks, bonds, and property (in real terms) will be mostly noticed by the wealthy. They will experience a devastating decline in their wealth. The current bubble of billionaires’ and millionaires’ fortunes will burst and $100s of billions of assets will go up in smoke.

Easy come and much easier going! The biggest beneficiaries of the coming wealth transfer will be owners of commodities, like food and hard assets. We are 100% sure this will result in a WAR. We just don't know which kind of war it will be. Those who disagree must buy and read a good HISTORY BOOK and realize that they and the sick leaders we have ain't any better than Louis XIV.

war 2021 04 14 war commodities
Note the price acceleration after the convertibility of money in gold was no more. We are in for at least 25 years of pain and probably blood-shedding. A fight for commodities and food.

"Every ounce of PHYSICAL silver is estimated to have 500-1000 fiat paper claims!"

The Perth Mint Is In Trouble – Where Is Their Clients’ Physical Gold & Silver? the Perth Mint, which is run by the Australian government, does not appear to have their clients’ physical gold and silver. The US-mint has stopped delivering American Gold and Silver Eagles.

Wallstreet silver betsThe silver price today is half of the January 1980 level. That was the peak (at $50) which silver reached again 31 years later in 2011. The bullion banks, aided by the BIS (Bank for International Settlements) and central banks have again managed to push it down again and today silver is only $25.90. An absolute buy at this level? See out subscriber section for the answer.

The current silver price has nothing to do with supply and demand. In a real market, the Price of Silver would be substantially higher. In a fake market, the manipulators have no problem suppressing the price by selling virtually unlimited fake paper silver.

The paper silver issuers know that they are dealing with totally clueless buyers who don’t understand that there is no silver, they will continue to stuff the retarded buyers with more fake silver…That is, until the buyers wake up and ask for delivery to find out that the silver vaults are empty.

We know that the silver market is very strained already. Retail silver can fetch margins up to 50% and they have been at 100% premium. But at least when people buy retail silver from a reputable dealer and take delivery, they know that they have real silver.

Do NOT buy PAPER SILVER, nor PAPER GOLD! We have warned readers many times not to buy gold or silver ETFs or funds of any kind. The risks are multiple. Gold and silver must be owned and held directly in physical form. The precious metals must be stored outside the banking system in the safest vaults and jurisdictions. The investor must also have direct personal access to the vault.

You should never store more gold and silver at home than you can afford to lose. It doesn’t help with a good safe when burglars come to your house and threaten members of your family when you are in.

Only for subscribers

newlock

Important Fundamentals:

  • Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Surge on Chinese Demand, newlock
  • ECB's balance sheet is as bad as the FEDs' balance sheet. To add insult to injury this sick LAFARGE-IDIOT dares to pretend that the EU will be back to normal in six months from now. Even worse is that there are people who believe this nonsense.ECB balance sheet 2008 2021

Important Technicals:

  • The weaker Dollar is Positive for Gold & Silver and the price of commodities. (see below)
  • See charts below for our new price targets.
  • Over the coming weeks, we should see LOWER interest rates.
newlock newlock

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Thursday/Friday, April 22-23, 2021 - The Miracle recovery is a political narrative that will not become reality...on the contrary.


Updated Sections: Gold & Silver Juniors, Recession Proof Shs (LOCG), Recession Proof - hold,
Bio Tech-Pharma, Oil Shares, Natural Gas & shares, Uranium Shares, Crude Oil price evolution,
Solar & Rare Elements, Agriculturals, Copper & Platinum, Commodities expressed in Gold,
Long Term Commodity Charts, Inflation Index

floyd verdict

If you see how politicians (Democrats) use the death of a black junkie to buy votes, you know you are smelling a system that is rotten to the core.

They convicted an innocent man. Tuesday afternoon, a former Minneapolis Police Officer Derek Chauvin was convicted of three counts of murder and manslaughter of George Floyd. This was a show trial. The media convicted an innocent man, and the jury was too fearful to stand on the evidence.

At the trial, the bloodwork showed that George Floyd had three times the fatal dose of Fentanyl. There was also evidence given that Fentanyl causes breathing problems. In fact, an overdose stops you from breathing and kills you.  It also came out that Floyd had breathing problems before he was restrained on the ground. Police videos showed Floyd was complaining about breathing when he was sitting in the back of the squad car, and he asked to get out. The most surprising thing was the police video of Floyd being restrained showed that Officer Chauvin’s knee was not on Floyd’s neck, it was on his shoulder blade. . .

Expressed in FIAT terms, markets may be volatile and see some violent corrections in a Venezuela-Weimar style. However, the real crash will happen in REAL TERMS...and that is what counts.

The Miracle recovery is a political narrative that will not become reality...on the contrary. Over the last few weeks, we’ve been constantly bombarded by news reports celebrating an incredible global economic recovery. According to those analyses. The return to vibrant growth is already underway. Stock markets certainly seem to agree, going from record high to record high, while all the political and institutional leaders congratulate themselves on a job well done.

"If markets don't crash when expressed in Fiat Money, they will when expressed in Real Money or Gold!"

There are dozens of charts that illustrate how closely today’s financial bubble resembles its predecessors. But simple is better when expressing a hard truth or the margin debt. This is debt created when investors borrow against their stocks to buy more stocks. At its high extremes, the result is always the same: A price decline that forces overleveraged investors to liquidate at any price, turning correction into a bloodbath. Note that the steeper the rise in margin debt, the more severe the resulting plunge in share prices.

Leverage is the great accelerator of stock prices on the way up, and on the way down. FINRA reported that margin debt jumped by another $9 billion to $823 billion in March, having soared by $163 billion in five months, and having exploded by 72% from March 2020 and by 51% from February 2020 to historic WTF highs. While we don't know how much total market leverage there is, the margin debt measures the trend. History learns that any big surge in margin debt preceded each big stock market decline.

newlock newlock
The 1920s saw the 1st spike of margin debt...and the 1st big crash. a 100% correlation.

While we don’t know whether we shall see a 1929 scenario again or whether the Stock Markets will continue to spike in a Venezuelan style, we are 100% and we do know that EXPRESSED IN REAL MONEY, Stock Markets will become almost worthless.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The stock market has rallied impressively over the last couple of months on enthusiasm about reopening and the growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates any time soon. What many analysts don't realize, is that the NATURAL FORCES of the markets are the final judge and that interest rates will rise once high inflation and hyperinflation kicks in.
  • newlock

Important Technicals:

  • The turn in markets is slowly approaching. No one should hold ordinary stocks now. The risk is massive and a crash can happen at any time. It is never worth squeezing the last few pennies out of a 40 year (at least) bull market. Even worse to follow it 90%+ down (in real terms) in the coming years.
  • Once silver newlock

© - All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic.


Monday/Tuesday, April 19-20, 2021 - We are patching our servers!


Updated Sections: Gold & Silver Juniors, Recession Proof Shs (LOCG), Recession Proof - hold, 
Bio Tech-Pharma, Oil Shares, Natural Gas & shares, Uranium Shares, Crude Oil price evolution,
Solar & Rare Elements, Agriculturals, Copper & Platinum,

patching

Maintenance notice: We're patching our servers.

We'll be performing maintenance on our server between April 19, 2021, and April 21, 2021, MST. We're installing patches on our server to stay ahead of potential security vulnerabilities.

Between Monday, April 19, 2021, 06:00 AM, and Wednesday, April 21, 2021, 11:59 PM MST, you may experience up to 30 minutes of intermittent interruption to your sites while we install the patches. After the patches are installed, we'll reboot the server and you'll be up and running. The next update will be published as soon as the servers are ready. Probably next week Wednesday – Thursday.

Individual sections will be updated insofar as technically possible.

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Friday, April 16, 2021 - We are in hyperinflation - buckle up it's going to get bubbly.


Updated Sections: Long Term Charts, Royalties, Gold & Silver Majors, Miners & Gold vs SPX
GS Share Fundamentals

"Few are prepared for the disorder, ruin, or hyperinflation. Whether it is ordinary people or the so-called experts, everybody believes ruin won’t happen to them."

1922 russian banknoteAnd don't think Russia is any better. Russia sold a record volume of ruble bonds as state banks continued to prop up demand and sanctions jitters faded after U.S. President Joe Biden proposed a summit with Russia’s Vladimir Putin. The Finance Ministry sold 213 billion rubles ($2.8 billion) of fixed-coupon debt due in March 2031 in its second auction of the day, beating a record set two weeks earlier. The yield on Russia’s 10-year bonds fell the most since November as Tuesday’s phone call between the leaders appeared to reduce the possibility of penalties targeting the nation’s local OFZ debt.

"It's John Law and the Mississippi scheme all over the Stock Markets!"

Are you still buying-holding Stocks!? Investors (incl. Central Banks) have put more money into stocks in the last 5 months than the previous 12 years combined. Markets continue on their path of record disconnects from reality. As such markets continue on their path of record disconnects of asset prices from the economy reaching over 201% vs GDP now.  As usual, the narrative classifies everybody telling the truth as IDIOTS.

As with any bubble, valuation metrics are disregarded and new narratives spring up to justify the price action and previous metrics are discarded as irrelevant. This process will work until it doesn’t and frankly, it has to because equity inflows have taken on epic proportions with people piling into the highest valuations in history. The vast majority of investors have zero ideas of the risks lurking beneath the current market wave.

Madoff was arrested and got a 150-year jail sentence for doing exactly the same as the Central Banks are doing today. As a matter of fact, if you think about it, the actions of the Central Banks are even worse and more immoral than what Madoff did.

"So not only is the Swiss banking system too big for the country but the Swiss national bank is extremely vulnerable to a decline in the dollar and euro plus US tech stocks."

The “gross” (yet legally unreported) derivative exposure at Deutsche Bank is $40Trillion, despite an enterprise asset value of just $800B for the entire bank itself. In fact, Deutsche Bank’s derivatives exposure is greater than 3X total GDP for the entire European Union.

The Deutsche Bank is hardly the only bank playing this dangerous game of derivative roulette. One can easily add JP Morgan, Goldman, Wells Fargo, Soc Gen, BNP, or Morgan Stanley to the list.

Switzerland has a major problem due to the size of its banking system which is 5X Swiss GDP. Thus in case of a major contagion, the Swiss financial system is too big to save. The additional problem is of course the Swiss National Bank – SNB – which is the largest hedge fund in the world with assets of CHF 1 trillion (USD 1.1trillion) which is 145% of Swiss GDP. For comparison, the Fed’s balance sheet is 27% of US GDP. The majority of the balance sheet is in foreign exchange speculation and held in dollars and euros. The SwissNB also has major positions in US tech stocks – $8.5 billion in Apple, $6.b in Microsoft, $5.2 in Amazon plus a lot more.

Again, when you put your assets in the financial system, it is like putting them in a timebomb that has already been lit. It is only a matter of time before it all explodes. And you will have a hard time finding anything of value among the rubble.

Anyone who believes that their assets held within a bank will be safe should think again. I am not just talking about money but also all the securities held by the bank as custodians. Under pressure, the bank will use these assets as collateral for their trading loans. This has happened many times before like in 2007-8. As the assets are booked in the banks' name they CAN and WILL do it when they are cornered.

Important Fundamentals:

  • Indian Gold Imports Set A New Record, Rising 471%. India’s gold imports in March rose 471% from a year earlier to a record 160 tonnes, reports Reuters. Buyers are drawn by a reduction in import taxes for the metal and a correction in prices from record highs last year.
  • Bond yields do not reflect the massive risks. The government bond market is the biggest bubble of all. That won’t stop it from expanding further. In Switzerland for example you can get a 15 year fixed mortgage at a fixed rate of 1%. This is like handing out money for free. But low-interest rates in no way represent the generosity of governments or central banks. Instead, it is the consequence of their profligate spending. With incessant deficit spending, governments must finance the new debt at virtually no cost to avoid default. That is why we are seeing $18 trillion of negative-yielding government bonds with no Western borrower paying above 2% for any maturity.
  • The Dow peaked against gold in 1999. The ratio came down from 44 to 6 or by 87% in 2011. We have now seen a 10-year correction with the compliment of the Fed and massive money printing combined with credit expansion. We know that stocks are massively overbought on every measure. To catch the last few points of the rise is an extremely dangerous exercise that will lead to ruin. Now is the time to take profits in stocks, to get out of this DIGITAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM, and protect your assets from total annihilation.
  • Trafigura expects

Important Technicals:

  • There are signs that something is afoot right as markets are reaching a key technical zone. My view remains: This market has an appointment with many open gaps to fill to the downside. As usual, it is impossible to TIME when these open gaps will be filled. But FILLED they will be.
  • Gold is today as cheap in relation to money supply as it was in 1970 at $35 and as cheap as in 2000 when gold was $290. The short-term correction in gold is now finishing and the next move up will be the strongest for a few years. The rise in gold and fall in stocks will mean that the Dow will fall another 99% (see chart in section Indexes expressed in Real Money) from here to reach the long-term trend line (not shown).
  • All the Royalty-shares we have selected are about to break out to the upside and are BUYS at the present level.

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Wednesday/Thursday, April 14-15, 2021 - Money created out of thin air always has ZERO value!


Updated Sections: Index In Real Money/Gold (the most important section on the site) ,

Why inflation is everywhere except in Government statistics? Why do they stop publishing Money Supply statistics? Politicians, Governments, Central Bankers don't want you to know that they SUCK at what they are doing and are only interested in POWER & CONTROL.

Money created out of thin air must always have ZERO value. Today, the HERD still allocates some value to the currencies in circulation. However, when the world discovers that the debt has ZERO value (Debt = Currency) and hence the CURRENCY has ZERO VALUE, they will wake up from their sweet dreams and realize that the artificial wealth they have built up was all based on a lie.

Starting with the closing of the gold window in 1971 by Nixon, the world has built up grossly overvalued assets that will soon find their intrinsic value of nearer ZERO. Some will argue that many of these assets will still have value because it is a sound business or a high-quality commercial building with good tenants. That argument is valid as long as the business has no debt and/or can service its debts from revenue. When tenants can no longer pay the rent, the bank will call in the loans and foreclose on the building. In a world with $300 trillion of debt, most assets are heavily leveraged. Debtors with no profits or income will quickly become insolvent and the bank will become holders of major assets that collapsed in value. The banks will not be able to hold on to these assets and will sell them in ongoing fire sales. As a result, the BUBBLES will deflate.

The majority of investors have not the slightest clue of the risks lurking beneath the current market bubble wave. As markets distorted by desperate central bank policies reach record highs on balance- sheet challenged, debt-soaked securities, the mad crowds continue to chase immediate satisfaction, completely blind to risks hiding in plain sight.

"Due to modern uses of leverage and financial derivatives colliding with a central-bank-created debt tsunami, the banking risk has never ever been this high."

People don't invest in PHYSICAL Gold and Silver because they prefer to believe the FAIRY TALES sold by the Authorities and Central Bankers and go for immediate satisfaction. The latter they get as Stock Markets are pushed up by Central Bankers while the Gold & Silver price is capped by the same. To add insult to injury, the Physical Gold & Silver markets generate LOW PROFITS for the dealers whereas the Stock Markets generate A LOT of profit. Those buying PHYSICAL Gold & Silver buy the metals and sit tight while those TRADING stocks generate commissions all year round.

Holders of Real Money (Gold & Silver) will find bargains. As in every period of crisis in history holders of liquid real assets like gold and silver will be able to pick assets for 5 cents on the dollar. This sounds impossible today but people familiar with for example the Weimar Republic will know that this actually happened then and also in other times in periods of major crises. That will be the time when a property that is today worth say $1.1 million can be acquired for $1 kilo which is a 95% discount, measured in gold. During the Weimar one could buy a whole GERMAN street for 2 GOLD COINS and during the Great Depression, one could buy a Skyscraper with the same 2 GOLD COINS.

This time the debt bubble is bigger than any time in history. This is the first time ever that a debt collapse will be global. Every corner of the world is in the same situation – North America, South America, Europe, Africa, China, Japan, and even Russia. Some countries like China might be able to deal with their debt internally but every single country in the world will suffer as the financial system implodes and world trade collapses.

Those who believe that assets held within a bank (DIGITAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM) will be safe is living in LALA-LAND. I am not just talking about money but also all the securities held by the bank as custodians. Under pressure, the bank will use these assets as collateral for their trading loans. This has happened many times before like in 2007-8.  Most people don't know that when they buy securities these are registered in the name of the Broker or Bank and these can (even if illegal) fully use these as collateral.

Important Fundamentals:

  • Lithium supplies must grow by 10X to keep up with demand during the next four years. See our lithium shares in the Solar & Rare Elements section.
  • The IDEAL CATCH made in China! A digital currency with an expiry date. Either you spend and consume, either it becomes worthless. We expect that it will soon be widely used in all Communist countries.

digital yuan 2021 04 11

Important Technicals:

  • One of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is when the housing market gets super-heated (i.e. we have a BUY-CLIMAX). Yet, one of the most difficult aspects of this Excess Phase rally trend is that it can last many months or years, extremely hard to predict.

 © - All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic.


Monday/Tuesday, April12-13, 2021 - This is how dangerous it is: $30 billion evaporates in one weekend's time...


Updated Sections: Bank & Fin. Shares (charts), Swedish Krona & Gold, Aussie & Gold
Yen & Gold, SA Rand & Gold, World Stock Market Indexes

deer in the headlightsThis is how dangerous it is: $30 billion evaporates in one weekend's time...see last week's update for details. People will NOT GET out in time...the HERD will ride out the whole crash and collapse and most people will have their capital totally destroyed.  My experience is that people, just like deer, keep looking at the headlights instead of taking action.

"At this time, the biggest holdup of the 21st century is happening!"

Why are they doing this? Since no benign reason is apparent, the use of vaccine passports along with a “banking reset” will probably issue in "totalitarianism" unlike the world has ever seen. Recalling the evil of Stalin, Mao, and Hitler, “mass depopulation” remains a logical outcome. Alert people know that this COVID-thing is misused to consolidate POWER and COMMUNISM (we will all be happy and have nothing).

East Europeans lived, smelled, saw, felt, experienced communism. They now see it is has become a reality in West Europe. Premier Orban totally confirms our conviction that the COVID-VIRUS has transformed Europe into a COMMUNIST continent. Venezuela, here we come.

“The superior man, when resting in safety, does not forget that danger may come. When in a state of security he does not forget the possibility of ruin. When all is orderly, he does not forget that disorder may come.

The investors we meet in our business are people who are risk-averse and therefore very much focus on wealth preservation. These investors buy physical gold (& silver) because they are concerned about the excessive risks in markets. They want to protect and ensure their wealth against unprecedented financial and currency risk. Like ourselves, these investors consider physical precious metals, stored outside a fragile banking system, and out of political reach as the ultimate form of wealth preservation.

"Investment gold represents less than 0.5% of world financial assets."

Those who are FROZEN like a deer in the headlights (the HERD of 90% of the people), will suffer most. This was the case before the Big Wars ( Reichsfluchtsteuer), It was so for any civilian who did not have any savings invested in Gold & Silver when the Weimar Revolution (hyperinflation) started. It was so for everyone who, after WW2 didn't have his savings in Gold & Silver (A Remake of Operation Gutt). It was so for every Venezuelan who didn't put his savings in Gold and Silver.

Today, investment gold represents less than 0.5% of world financial assets. This means that only a minuscule percentage of investors insure their wealth in gold. This is clearly surprising bearing in mind that over 6,000 years gold is the only money that has survived.


warningThe biggest holdup we are talking about is the exponential increase in MONEY SUPPLY.  It started towards the end of 2019. The charts below show the extraordinary event which is happening right under our noses and which goes unnoticed by the Mainstream Media because all attention is focussed on this COVID-thing. What is happening right now would make James  Bond jealous. Because of the vertiginous increase (more than doubling) of the Money Supply, the money in circulation has - in a few months' time - lost about HALF and MORE of its value...and so has the value of all assets expressed in Fiat Money. Only, at this point, NOBODY seems to realize this bitter reality.

Expect PANIC when the HERD realizes what happened and how Central Banks bought ASSETS to cover up the operation.

Australia is just one of the many examples. For the U.S.A., because the FED no longer publishes the figures, it becomes difficult to get the statistics. For the E.U. it is even harder as the ECB is not so transparent as the FED. But we know, this scenario is unfolding all over the Western World.

 The Money supply is Australia TRIPLED!  The balance sheet of the Austr. Central Bank doubled.
M1 aussie 2021 04 08 Aussie central bk balance 2021 04 08
 therefore the value of the Aussie is worth 1/3rd of its 2020 value.  When a Central Bank buys financial instruments, it hereby creates money...figure DOUBLED since the end of 2020!
M1 money supply - U.S.A. M2 money supply - U.S.A.
M1 2021 04 08 M2 2021 04 08
x 4.5 in 12 months...or the Dollar lost 3/4 of its value almost x 3 since the end of 2019
FED 2021 04 08

This is a VERY DANGEROUS and unseen situation. Certainly in my lifetime.

If you think and hope this will go away without damage, you are NUTS, CRAZY!

DO NOT POSTPONE ACTION!

The Balance sheet of the FED doubled since 2020  

This is no longer a time for GAMES.  The Financial Situation of the World has become explosive. Impossible to forecast WHEN the catharsis will happen...but it probably will be soon.


 

But don’t expect the government to sit idly by while the dollar, euro, sterling, yen,... crashes and capital leaves the country. There is “the possibility of capital controls & Reichsfluchtsteuer” to prevent money from exiting the United States, the EU, the UK, Japan, Belgium, The Netherlands,...as well as “prohibitions against capital movements to other assets “Gold, Silver,...”

Important Fundamentals:

  • Interest rates are now so low that “investing in bonds (and most financial assets) has become stupid.” Bond yields are so low today that investors would essentially have to wait more than 500 years to break even on their bond investments after adjusting for inflation. and yet, in most European countries, pension funds, insurance companies, and Banks must BY LAW keep the bulk of their assets in TREASURIES. Hence, we are MATHEMATICALLY SURE that these institutions will, at some point in the future, FAIL...GO BANKRUPT.
  • Bubbles continue to grow because Central banks are inflating these. This includes the Real Estate markets.
  • There is a very good reason WHY Gold & Silver miners are so cheap. They are an inherent part of the DIGITAL-FINANCIAL-WORLD. In case of an accident, they will NOT protect you as these shares will be frozen like everything else in the DIGITAL FINANCIAL WORLD. For those who are convinced no harm will happen and we shall have NO BANK HOLIDAY, continue below.
  • The price of gold hit a record high of $2,070 in 2020,

Important Technicals:

  • One of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is when the housing market gets super-heated. Yet, one of the most difficult aspects of this Excess Phase rally trend is that it can last many months or years, extremely hard to predict. 
  • When you see Gold start to rally above $2150~$2250 and breakout into a true rally while the price of

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Thursday/Friday, April 7-8 2021, - As a rule, during times of high inflation and hyperinflation, wages & pensions become WORTHLESS!


Updated Sections: Gold-$, Buy Gold, Silver, US Dollar, Rupee Gold, Swiss Franc & Gold,
Euro and €-Gold, Candollar & Gold, British Pound & Gold

The narrative is that the West is the LAND of the FREE...I'd rather say "WAS". Today, everything is controlled. The tax and legal codes are dangerously complicated. So complex that they make a criminal of almost every citizen. Part of this problem is deep-rooted and the result of a failing EDUCATION system and also the END of a natural cycle. One could call it Sodom and Gomorrah.

The video below is characteristic of what today's world has become. Be sure to watch it all the way to the end.

"As a rule, during times of high inflation and hyperinflation, wages become WORTHLESS!"

Wages and pensions become worthless. Even with little or no unemployment. As a consequence, the price of High Order Capital Goods and Equities, Real Estate,...) always CRASH  while the price of Low Order Consumer Goods (food, utilities, energy, commodities,...) rises exponentially.

Uncle Sam needs you! What many don't know, is that in the 1930s the people were pushed by the media (propaganda) to bring their gold to the government in order to save the country. The mainstream narrative was different from what is today but was existing. During World War II, the Mainstream Media and narrative were that people had to buy WAR-BONDS.

Today, at this time, there is still no direct need for the government to go after gold because nobody holds gold (only 0.5% do). Gold holders are in a minority. Many don't even know WHERE to buy Gold and most people don't see the necessity to store their gold & silver out of political reach. This of course can and will change rapidly once the economic and financial situation degrades.

Authorities can do the following:

  1. Rig, manipulate the price of gold in the paper market so the Herd doesn't focus on Gold (and Silver).
  2. Limit the trade of gold in the market.
  3. Windfall profit tax on the profit of the sale of Gold (up to 90%).
  4. Sales tax on Gold & Silver. In the EU, there is a 21% sales tax on Silver.
  5. Confiscate the Gold and Silver holdings of the people for the benefit of ALL.

So people may have to sell their gold  & silver on the black market or simply use the gold and silver coins as means of payment. Therefore one must hold coins and not bars. Also, confiscation of bars is possible (and easier) whereas the confiscation of numismatic coins normally never happens. [munismatic coins are coins with a Dollar, Euro, Sterling value] NEVER forget that bad money drives out good money in circulation. Gresham's law.


The blowup of the Archegos Hedge Fund will be the first of many to come. Be aware this kind of catastrophes NEGATIVELY affects ALL BANKS & Financial institutions.

archegos

Morgan Stanley dumped $5 billion in Archegos’ stocks the night before a massive fire sale hit rivals. (used inside information = a crime) But the investment bank had and withheld the information it didn’t share with the stock buyers: The basket of shares it was selling was merely the opening salvo of an unprecedented wave of sales by Morgan Stanley and five other investment banks starting the very next day.

Soon or later this will result in The Big Financial Crisis of the 21st century. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse ($4.8 billion loss), and Nomura ($2 billion loss) combined are facing a 6 billion dollars loss. No doubt the mother of all systemic financial dramas is yet to come. This will ruin the entire monetary system. Little doubt this disaster will become a GLOBAL, long-term event.

 Intelligent people buy Physical Gold and Silver and store them in a VAULT out of the banking system, and out of political reach.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The lithium supply needs will jump 10x in the next four years. While there's plenty of lithium, there are no new mines. See the subscriber section for more shares.
  • Biggest Mining Buyback in Years Propels Vale to All-Time High. The mining sector is flush with cash. The sector went through a painful rationalization between 2011 and 2016 so they have been cautious about embarking on risky behavior. That left them well placed to benefit from the recovery in industrial metal prices from the pandemic lows. See the subscriber section to find out whether this share is still a BUY and what our other options are.
  • CRS and the repatriation of funds kept the Real Estate alive for some time in Europe...Kids received some funds from parents, family so they could buy this house...today the parents and family have donated it all...this source has dried up.
  • Manhattan is NO MORE! “The streets out here in New York are dead. . . . They are dead. Now, they are raising the taxes. The first thing they did was tolls. The next thing they are going to do is a gas tax, soda tax, sales tax, property tax, and school tax. Business is dead. New York City is dead. Brooklyn is dead. Park Slope is a slope alright, a downhill slope. The office occupancy rate in New York City is still at 14%. All the businesses that depend on commuters are gone, and this isn’t coming back.” This could well be the beginning of the BIG REAL ESTATE CRASH. Expect to see the SAME TREND all over the Western World: Paris, London, Brussels, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, Madrid,.

Important Technicals:

  • The US-Dollar: all technical indicators are BEARISH. The Dollar is bouncing down an important resistance zone and we expect lower in the coming weeks. This will push commodities, gold, and silver HIGHER.
  • On our Dollar – Swiss franc chart we have a bear trap and bullish divergences. See section for details.
  • Our Miners-index flashes a STRONG BUY. See chart below.
Super buy zone... A climax in Buybacks = Climax of Stock Markets?
 
  Negative divergences, too many bulls
, and a potential buy climax...CAUTION!

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Tuesday/Wednesday, April 6-7, 2021 - HAPPY EASTERN: It's John Law all over. Same PONZI procedure but different!


Updated Sections: Gold-$, Buy Gold

Replace in the story (video) Louis XIV with the Western World Governments, replace John Law by the Central Banks, replace the IOUs by Digital Fiat Money, replace Louisiana & the Mississippi Company by the Stock & Bond markets and Real Estate...it's just the same PONZI scheme over again...Just like during the reign of Louis XIV, most people (95% of the population) have not the brains, the understanding, nor the balls to watch the video below in order to try to understand that WEALTH CANNOT BE CREATED OUT OF THIN AIR.

It was one of the most sensational get-rich-quick schemes heard of in a long time, but it eventually burst over the head of its originator, John Law. This "rags to riches to rags" story, in which the plan was to open a bank and exchange banknotes (paper!) for gold at wildly inflated share prices, ends when John Law, having been cleaned out as a result of a rush to cash in the notes, is left broke and broken-hearted.

The Fiat Money game they played since 1971. Or 52 years. We have bubbles everywhere and we know these are about to bust. We just don't know when and what will be the Black Swan which makes it happen.

People don't know and don't WANT to know what is coming. The video below will sound familiar to those who watched the John Law video above. Be advised that financial and economic trouble ALWAYS ends in a (civil) WAR, bloodshed. This time won't be different.

Those who pretend we shall see no inflation because of an aging population and falling demand and lower unemployment must be living in a pre-historic hole....and don't SEE what is happening in countries like Venezuela. These false prophets don't know the exact definition of inflation and must be locked up.

In the beginning, THE HERD even loves inflation. Because of inflations, higher salaries are paid out; the value of assets (shares, bonds, real estate, collectibles,...) rise (bubbles) giving the impression that each day they are getting richer. A very DANGEROUS TRAP it is.

And YES, the WESTERN WORLD (not only America) is DEAD...and few realize it and prepare. People who refuse to learn from history are forced to repeat it.

Are you gambling your savings in order to earn more DIGITAL FIAT MONEY (like The Herd does)...or are you wisely preparing for the inevitable? The bellboys, shoe shiners, and taxi drivers of the 1920s are today's Stock Market letters, Financial Guru's, Algo-advisers,...are those promising you SUPER-PROFITS. A lot of easy money and immediate gratification. And you know what, they will all be right until they are no longer and the day comes where The HERD loses it all and many jump of a bridge or a skyscraper.

Reasoning people KNOW what will happen...the pictures below should tell more than 1001 words. Bubbles do burst without warning. Once they do, it's too late to run. When they do, they take all the FIAT ASSETS along...just like happened at the time of John Law when the Ponzi scheme organized by Law and the Royal Bank failed and the currency became worthless as people realized the Mississippi company and Louisiana were worthless.

People who take the risk to ride the FIAT BUBBLE ASSETS must be aware that the day the bubble deflates, they will lose it overnight. Only Gold & Silver service and prosper. The charts below don't leave any doubt and clearly show what happened in Venezuela. Same scenario as in Zimbabwe, Weimar. [note the process always takes 3 waves and so far in Venezuela we only had 2 waves]

Caracas stock market long term gold silver vs real estate 2021 03 24
These stories end with a lot of tears...
Holders of physical gold & silver always survive.
Silver Gold Weimar Important here is that Silver did better
from October 23, 1923, until Nov. 30, 1923.
Logic as towards the end of the hyperinflation
cycle GOLD had become so powerful that
one could buy a whole street with 2 x 1 oz. gold coins.

Important Fundamentals:

  • As expected, the SHORTAGE of Gold & Silver (coins) is getting worse and spreading over more and more countries.
  • Stock markets and stocks will continue to rise and Bonds will continue to TOP...until they stop doing so. The Millenniums should ONLY BUY GOLD & SILVER as everything else is a BUBBLE.
  • From now on it becomes of utmost IMPORTANCE to check how stocks and bonds perform when expressed in Real Money or Gold. The performance in FIAT MONEY (Fools' Gold) becomes totally irrelevant.
  • Also very important is to ensure you keep the bulk of your savings OUT OF THE FIAT DIGITAL SYSTEM. Some day, the system will crash (mathematically sure), we'll have a bank holiday and nobody knows how much wealth those who are still in the system will lose.
  • The same is true for those who keep the bulk of their savings within political reach.
 Profit margins of Miners are better than in 2011!  By buying a miner, you get a lot more for your Dollars than by buying Amazon.
toronto gold  
Today can be compared to 1976-1978.

Important Technicals:

  • Miners point to higher Gold & Silver and remain a strong buy. The only problem is that you have to register these in your name if you want to keep these out of the digital system AND you may be running into trouble when we have this BANK HOLIDAY. The holiday can last from 24 hours to several months and years.
  • Most stock market indexes are OVERBOUGHT and some correction is expected.
  • The Dutch AEX-index is at an all-time high.
 This time, the price of Crude Oil is NOT going up because of rising demand but because of price inflation!
Double top for the Dutch AEX-index. We may see a breakout and a backtest soon.
Buy Physical en sit on it...until the price soars to $150? $10,000? ...who knows. Bearing in mind the amount of fiat money created each day, this will probably NOT be a TOP...and we may see a lot higher before the final crash.
See the subscriber section for more...
 Buy, sit on your physical COINS and enjoy...
   
Plenty of Easter Eggs and excellent buy opportunities at present levels.

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Happy Eastern slide

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