12
April
2021

April 2021

100% SURE THAT WISENOSES WHO DON'T PREPARE NOW, WILL BE LATE.

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  • Go back and read the older updates & Education hall - there is also A LOT of valuable information in these.
  • Candle (and often also PF-charts may be updated at all times, even if not mentioned in the "Updated Sections" - do check the charts in the sections.
  • Due to unprecedented demand in the metals markets, there may be longer than usual response times to emails and phone calls. Please allow up to 48 business hours for me to get back to you regarding trades, transfers, and any other service items. Thank you for your patience!

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Monday/Tuesday, April12-13, 2021 - This is how dangerous it is: $30 billion evaporates in one weekend's time...


Updated Sections: Bank & Fin. Shares (charts),

deer in the headlightsThis is how dangerous it is: $30 billion evaporates in one weekend's time...see last week's update for details. People will NOT GET out in time...the HERD will ride out the whole crash and collapse and most people will have their capital totally destroyed.  My experience is that people, just like deer, keep looking at the headlights instead of taking action.

"At this time, the biggest holdup of the 21st century is happening!"

Why are they doing this? Since no benign reason is apparent, the use of vaccine passports along with a “banking reset” will probably issue in "totalitarianism" unlike the world has ever seen. Recalling the evil of Stalin, Mao, and Hitler, “mass depopulation” remains a logical outcome. Alert people know that this COVID-thing is misused to consolidate POWER and COMMUNISM (we will all be happy and have nothing).

East Europeans lived, smelled, saw, felt, experienced communism. They now see it is has become a reality in West Europe. Premier Orban totally confirms our conviction that the COVID-VIRUS has transformed Europe into a COMMUNIST continent. Venezuela, here we come.

“The superior man, when resting in safety, does not forget that danger may come. When in a state of security he does not forget the possibility of ruin. When all is orderly, he does not forget that disorder may come.

The investors we meet in our business are people who are risk-averse and therefore very much focus on wealth preservation. These investors buy physical gold (& silver) because they are concerned about the excessive risks in markets. They want to protect and ensure their wealth against unprecedented financial and currency risk. Like ourselves, these investors consider physical precious metals, stored outside a fragile banking system, and out of political reach as the ultimate form of wealth preservation.

"Investment gold represents less than 0.5% of world financial assets."

Those who are FROZEN like a deer in the headlights (the HERD of 90% of the people), will suffer most. This was the case before the Big Wars ( Reichsfluchtsteuer), It was so for any civilian who did not have any savings invested in Gold & Silver when the Weimar Revolution (hyperinflation) started. It was so for everyone who, after WW2 didn't have his savings in Gold & Silver (A Remake of Operation Gutt). It was so for every Venezuelan who didn't put his savings in Gold and Silver.

Today, investment gold represents less than 0.5% of world financial assets. This means that only a minuscule percentage of investors insure their wealth in gold. This is clearly surprising bearing in mind that over 6,000 years gold is the only money that has survived.


warningThe biggest holdup we are talking about is the exponential increase in MONEY SUPPLY.  It started towards the end of 2019. The charts below show the extraordinary event which is happening right under our noses and which goes unnoticed by the Mainstream Media because all attention is focussed on this COVID-thing. What is happening right now would make James  Bond jealous. Because of the vertiginous increase (more than doubling) of the Money Supply, the money in circulation has - in a few months' time - lost about HALF and MORE of its value...and so has the value of all assets expressed in Fiat Money. Only, at this point, NOBODY seems to realize this bitter reality.

Expect PANIC when the HERD realizes what happened and how Central Banks bought ASSETS to cover up the operation.

Australia is just one of the many examples. For the U.S.A., because the FED no longer publishes the figures, it becomes difficult to get the statistics. For the E.U. it is even harder as the ECB is not so transparent as the FED. But we know, this scenario is unfolding all over the Western World.

 The Money supply is Australia TRIPLED!  The balance sheet of the Austr. Central Bank doubled.
M1 aussie 2021 04 08 Aussie central bk balance 2021 04 08
 therefore the value of the Aussie is worth 1/3rd of its 2020 value.  When a Central Bank buys financial instruments, it hereby creates money...figure DOUBLED since the end of 2020!
M1 money supply - U.S.A. M2 money supply - U.S.A.
M1 2021 04 08 M2 2021 04 08
x 4.5 in 12 months...or the Dollar lost 3/4 of its value almost x 3 since the end of 2019
FED 2021 04 08

This is a VERY DANGEROUS and unseen situation. Certainly in my lifetime.

If you think and hope this will go away without damage, you are NUTS, CRAZY!

DO NOT POSTPONE ACTION!

The Balance sheet of the FED doubled since 2020  

This is no longer a time for GAMES.  The Financial Situation of the World has become explosive. Impossible to forecast WHEN the catharsis will happen...but it probably will be soon.


But don’t expect the government to sit idly by while the dollar, euro, sterling, yen,... crashes and capital leaves the country. There is “the possibility of capital controls & Reichsfluchtsteuer” to prevent money from exiting the United States, the EU, the UK, Japan, Belgium, The Netherlands,...as well as “prohibitions against capital movements to other assets “Gold, Silver,...”

Important Fundamentals:

  • Interest rates are now so low that “investing in bonds (and most financial assets) has become stupid.” Bond yields are so low today that investors would essentially have to wait more than 500 years to break even on their bond investments after adjusting for inflation. and yet, in most European countries, pension funds, insurance companies, and Banks must BY LAW keep the bulk of their assets in TREASURIES. Hence, we are MATHEMATICALLY SURE that these institutions will, at some point in the future, FAIL...GO BANKRUPT.
  • Bubbles continue to grow because Central banks are inflating these. This includes the Real Estate markets.
  • There is a very good reason WHY Gold & Silver miners are so cheap. They are an inherent part of the DIGITAL-FINANCIAL-WORLD. In case of an accident, they will NOT protect you as these shares will be frozen like everything else in the DIGITAL FINANCIAL WORLD. For those who are convinced no harm will happen and we shall have NO BANK HOLIDAY, continue below.
  • The price of gold hit a record high of $2,070 in 2020,

Important Technicals:

  • One of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is when the housing market gets super-heated. Yet, one of the most difficult aspects of this Excess Phase rally trend is that it can last many months or years, extremely hard to predict. 
  • When you see Gold start to rally above $2150~$2250 and breakout into a true rally while the price of

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Thursday/Friday, April 7-8 2021, - As a rule, during times of high inflation and hyperinflation, wages & pensions become WORTHLESS!


Updated Sections: Gold-$, Buy Gold, Silver, US Dollar, Rupee Gold, Swiss Franc & Gold,
Euro and €-Gold, Candollar & Gold, British Pound & Gold

The narrative is that the West is the LAND of the FREE...I'd rather say "WAS". Today, everything is controlled. The tax and legal codes are dangerously complicated. So complex that they make a criminal of almost every citizen. Part of this problem is deep-rooted and the result of a failing EDUCATION system and also the END of a natural cycle. One could call it Sodom and Gomorrah.

The video below is characteristic of what today's world has become. Be sure to watch it all the way to the end.

"As a rule, during times of high inflation and hyperinflation, wages become WORTHLESS!"

Wages and pensions become worthless. Even with little or no unemployment. As a consequence, the price of High Order Capital Goods and Equities, Real Estate,...) always CRASH  while the price of Low Order Consumer Goods (food, utilities, energy, commodities,...) rises exponentially.

Uncle Sam needs you! What many don't know, is that in the 1930s the people were pushed by the media (propaganda) to bring their gold to the government in order to save the country. The mainstream narrative was different from what is today but was existing. During World War II, the Mainstream Media and narrative were that people had to buy WAR-BONDS.

Today, at this time, there is still no direct need for the government to go after gold because nobody holds gold (only 0.5% do). Gold holders are in a minority. Many don't even know WHERE to buy Gold and most people don't see the necessity to store their gold & silver out of political reach. This of course can and will change rapidly once the economic and financial situation degrades.

Authorities can do the following:

  1. Rig, manipulate the price of gold in the paper market so the Herd doesn't focus on Gold (and Silver).
  2. Limit the trade of gold in the market.
  3. Windfall profit tax on the profit of the sale of Gold (up to 90%).
  4. Sales tax on Gold & Silver. In the EU, there is a 21% sales tax on Silver.
  5. Confiscate the Gold and Silver holdings of the people for the benefit of ALL.

So people may have to sell their gold  & silver on the black market or simply use the gold and silver coins as means of payment. Therefore one must hold coins and not bars. Also, confiscation of bars is possible (and easier) whereas the confiscation of numismatic coins normally never happens. [munismatic coins are coins with a Dollar, Euro, Sterling value] NEVER forget that bad money drives out good money in circulation. Gresham's law.


The blowup of the Archegos Hedge Fund will be the first of many to come. Be aware this kind of catastrophes NEGATIVELY affects ALL BANKS & Financial institutions.

archegos

Morgan Stanley dumped $5 billion in Archegos’ stocks the night before a massive fire sale hit rivals. (used inside information = a crime) But the investment bank had and withheld the information it didn’t share with the stock buyers: The basket of shares it was selling was merely the opening salvo of an unprecedented wave of sales by Morgan Stanley and five other investment banks starting the very next day.

Soon or later this will result in The Big Financial Crisis of the 21st century. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse ($4.8 billion loss), and Nomura ($2 billion loss) combined are facing a 6 billion dollars loss. No doubt the mother of all systemic financial dramas is yet to come. This will ruin the entire monetary system. Little doubt this disaster will become a GLOBAL, long-term event.

 Intelligent people buy Physical Gold and Silver and store them in a VAULT out of the banking system, and out of political reach.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The lithium supply needs will jump 10x in the next four years. While there's plenty of lithium, there are no new mines. See the subscriber section for more shares.
  • Biggest Mining Buyback in Years Propels Vale to All-Time High. The mining sector is flush with cash. The sector went through a painful rationalization between 2011 and 2016 so they have been cautious about embarking on risky behavior. That left them well placed to benefit from the recovery in industrial metal prices from the pandemic lows. See the subscriber section to find out whether this share is still a BUY and what our other options are.
  • CRS and the repatriation of funds kept the Real Estate alive for some time in Europe...Kids received some funds from parents, family so they could buy this house...today the parents and family have donated it all...this source has dried up.
  • Manhattan is NO MORE! “The streets out here in New York are dead. . . . They are dead. Now, they are raising the taxes. The first thing they did was tolls. The next thing they are going to do is a gas tax, soda tax, sales tax, property tax, and school tax. Business is dead. New York City is dead. Brooklyn is dead. Park Slope is a slope alright, a downhill slope. The office occupancy rate in New York City is still at 14%. All the businesses that depend on commuters are gone, and this isn’t coming back.” This could well be the beginning of the BIG REAL ESTATE CRASH. Expect to see the SAME TREND all over the Western World: Paris, London, Brussels, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, Madrid,.

Important Technicals:

  • The US-Dollar: all technical indicators are BEARISH. The Dollar is bouncing down an important resistance zone and we expect lower in the coming weeks. This will push commodities, gold, and silver HIGHER.
  • On our Dollar – Swiss franc chart we have a bear trap and bullish divergences. See section for details.
  • Our Miners-index flashes a STRONG BUY. See chart below.
Super buy zone... A climax in Buybacks = Climax of Stock Markets?
 
  Negative divergences, too many bulls
, and a potential buy climax...CAUTION!

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Tuesday/Wednesday, April 6-7, 2021 - HAPPY EASTERN: It's John Law all over. Same PONZI procedure but different!


Updated Sections: Gold-$, Buy Gold

Replace in the story (video) Louis XIV with the Western World Governments, replace John Law by the Central Banks, replace the IOUs by Digital Fiat Money, replace Louisiana & the Mississippi Company by the Stock & Bond markets and Real Estate...it's just the same PONZI scheme over again...Just like during the reign of Louis XIV, most people (95% of the population) have not the brains, the understanding, nor the balls to watch the video below in order to try to understand that WEALTH CANNOT BE CREATED OUT OF THIN AIR.

It was one of the most sensational get-rich-quick schemes heard of in a long time, but it eventually burst over the head of its originator, John Law. This "rags to riches to rags" story, in which the plan was to open a bank and exchange banknotes (paper!) for gold at wildly inflated share prices, ends when John Law, having been cleaned out as a result of a rush to cash in the notes, is left broke and broken-hearted.

The Fiat Money game they played since 1971. Or 52 years. We have bubbles everywhere and we know these are about to bust. We just don't know when and what will be the Black Swan which makes it happen.

People don't know and don't WANT to know what is coming. The video below will sound familiar to those who watched the John Law video above. Be advised that financial and economic trouble ALWAYS ends in a (civil) WAR, bloodshed. This time won't be different.

Those who pretend we shall see no inflation because of an aging population and falling demand and lower unemployment must be living in a pre-historic hole....and don't SEE what is happening in countries like Venezuela. These false prophets don't know the exact definition of inflation and must be locked up.

In the beginning, THE HERD even loves inflation. Because of inflations, higher salaries are paid out; the value of assets (shares, bonds, real estate, collectibles,...) rise (bubbles) giving the impression that each day they are getting richer. A very DANGEROUS TRAP it is.

And YES, the WESTERN WORLD (not only America) is DEAD...and few realize it and prepare. People who refuse to learn from history are forced to repeat it.

Are you gambling your savings in order to earn more DIGITAL FIAT MONEY (like The Herd does)...or are you wisely preparing for the inevitable? The bellboys, shoe shiners, and taxi drivers of the 1920s are today's Stock Market letters, Financial Guru's, Algo-advisers,...are those promising you SUPER-PROFITS. A lot of easy money and immediate gratification. And you know what, they will all be right until they are no longer and the day comes where The HERD loses it all and many jump of a bridge or a skyscraper.

Reasoning people KNOW what will happen...the pictures below should tell more than 1001 words. Bubbles do burst without warning. Once they do, it's too late to run. When they do, they take all the FIAT ASSETS along...just like happened at the time of John Law when the Ponzi scheme organized by Law and the Royal Bank failed and the currency became worthless as people realized the Mississippi company and Louisiana were worthless.

People who take the risk to ride the FIAT BUBBLE ASSETS must be aware that the day the bubble deflates, they will lose it overnight. Only Gold & Silver service and prosper. The charts below don't leave any doubt and clearly show what happened in Venezuela. Same scenario as in Zimbabwe, Weimar. [note the process always takes 3 waves and so far in Venezuela we only had 2 waves]

Caracas stock market long term gold silver vs real estate 2021 03 24
These stories end with a lot of tears...
Holders of physical gold & silver always survive.
Silver Gold Weimar Important here is that Silver did better
from October 23, 1923, until Nov. 30, 1923.
Logic as towards the end of the hyperinflation
cycle GOLD had become so powerful that
one could buy a whole street with 2 x 1 oz. gold coins.

Important Fundamentals:

  • As expected, the SHORTAGE of Gold & Silver (coins) is getting worse and spreading over more and more countries.
  • Stock markets and stocks will continue to rise and Bonds will continue to TOP...until they stop doing so. The Millenniums should ONLY BUY GOLD & SILVER as everything else is a BUBBLE.
  • From now on it becomes of utmost IMPORTANCE to check how stocks and bonds perform when expressed in Real Money or Gold. The performance in FIAT MONEY (Fools' Gold) becomes totally irrelevant.
  • Also very important is to ensure you keep the bulk of your savings OUT OF THE FIAT DIGITAL SYSTEM. Some day, the system will crash (mathematically sure), we'll have a bank holiday and nobody knows how much wealth those who are still in the system will lose.
  • The same is true for those who keep the bulk of their savings within political reach.
 Profit margins of Miners are better than in 2011!  By buying a miner, you get a lot more for your Dollars than by buying Amazon.
toronto gold  
Today can be compared to 1976-1978.

Important Technicals:

  • Miners point to higher Gold & Silver and remain a strong buy. The only problem is that you have to register these in your name if you want to keep these out of the digital system AND you may be running into trouble when we have this BANK HOLIDAY. The holiday can last from 24 hours to several months and years.
  • Most stock market indexes are OVERBOUGHT and some correction is expected.
  • The Dutch AEX-index is at an all-time high.
 This time, the price of Crude Oil is NOT going up because of rising demand but because of price inflation!
Double top for the Dutch AEX-index. We may see a breakout and a backtest soon.
Buy Physical en sit on it...until the price soars to $150? $10,000? ...who knows. Bearing in mind the amount of fiat money created each day, this will probably NOT be a TOP...and we may see a lot higher before the final crash.
See the subscriber section for more...
 Buy, sit on your physical COINS and enjoy...
   
Plenty of Easter Eggs and excellent buy opportunities at present levels.

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Happy Eastern slide

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