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  • The majority is never right. Never, I tell you! That’s one of these lies in society that no free and intelligent man can ever help rebelling against. Who are the people that make up the biggest proportion of the population — the intelligent ones or the fools? I think we can agree it’s the fools, no matter where you go in this world, it’s the fools that form the overwhelming majority - Henrik Ibsen.

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  • The mainstream (corporate) media is nothing less than the unofficial accomplice of the banking crime syndicate which is running/ruining our markets and economies. Nowhere is this despicable relationship more apparent than in its deliberate efforts to grossly misinform investors on the critical subject of risk.

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  • The business of investing rationally becomes problematic when market participants are pursuing maximum nominal returns without a second thought as to the real (inflation-adjusted) value of those returns and the location of the savings.

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  • Comparing the currencies is like picking the prettiest horse in the glue factory. The history of all fiat currencies shows they all end up being valueless. Gold’s nobody else’s liability and it has no counterparty risk. It’s provided protection against destruction of wealth for centuries and we’re at the cusp of another major chapter in its illustrious history.

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Recession Proof Shs (LOCG)

Updated July 17, 2019  - THIS IS still a "S E L L "  ...end of 5th and Final upleg!

Markets will continue to go up as long as Central Banks continue to print/create Money...see Communicating Financial Vessels

Indexes, prices have broken out through the TOP of the Trend Channels and we have an acceleration...which also may warn us a correction may NOT  be for tomorrow...but there is little doubt in my mind we shall see it in 2018.

This is LEG #5 and the last upleg: CAUTION + we have a ROTATION from a Bull into a Bear market (Oct '18)!

Stock markets always go up a Wall of Worry...This is WHY you MUST let your winning stocks run and cut your losses short using Trailing Stops!


Composite Index

recessionproof perfo 2014

Bullish Objective leg #5
Resistance n.a.
Support 6,800
Bearish Objective 5,200 - 4,800
Technical Pattern TOP & Leg #5

 Utility Index has been moved to the section: BONDS USA & GENERAL (where it belongs)...click here


COMPQ pf1

Short Term Candle  
COMPQ candle1
  • Oct 18: Index bouncing up its 200-day Moving Average indicates Leg#5 is not over yet.
  • Oct 28: see charts for support levels and targets...
  • Nov 1: Backtest.
  • Dec 11: this increasingly looks like a TOP FORMATION.
  • Dec 19 - 24: STOP broken - bearish target is 5,200
  • Dec 28 - Jan 23, 2019: Backtest - Mind the BEARISH constellation = 4 black crows, bearish wedge, bouncing down the 200 days moving average.
  • Feb 16 - March 21: end of the BACKTEST?
  • April 17 - July 17: Still a TOP!
   

Note: instead of "SELLING" consider using "TRAILING STOPS". If you do sell, you MUST buy back the same shares later on at a lower price level. Use trailing Stops once targets have been reached. Sell when the 200 days MA is violated (thin blue line on the PF charts) 

  • Dow Jones Utility index target is Old Historic Top ...and because of QE we may  see a Dow Jones level of 300,000 and higher..as central banks keep lowering interest rates and start with QE4 or something similar.
  • Stocks (and some utilities) are A LOT safer than Bonds as they can roll over the higher exploitation cost onto the Customers! (The Greek & Spanish Governments are taxing the people through the electricity bill). Remember at that Utilities did not beat Gold and won't beat Gold over the next years! Always remember that the system doesn't stall during a depression...and that stocks are sometimes used instead of paper money...
Yields for Dec 2018: ... CAUTION - use trailing stops...do not sell any positions...this market and these shares don't feel like coming down yet....don't BUY red labeled stocks!!
 Dec 2018: we see more and more stocks showing a TOP FORMATION!

Color Codes: Orange = Hold/Buy , Green = Buy , Red = Do NOT buy (Stop-Loss), White = ???
Advanced Micro Dev (AMD)
Meyers (MYE)

Twitter (TWTR) - na yield
Jacobs Engi.(JEC)
AMD pf1 MYE pf1   TWTR pf1 JEC pf1
SELL
uptrend resumed


US-Steel (X) Procter & Gamble (PG)  - 3.26% yield Orange (ORAN) 2.51% yield Cisco (CSCO)** 3.75% yield Descartes(DSG.TO) 0.60%yield ***
stock will be deleted PG pf1  ORAN pf1 CSCO pf1 DSGto candle2
Stop Loss  Sell
Telecommunication  Breakout+ uptrend resumed Breakout+uptrend resumed
EBAY Deere (DE) 1.99 % yield DowDuPont.(DWDP)      3.00 % yield Alcoa (AA) 1.32 % yield Allegheni (ATI)
EBAY pf1 DE pf1 DWDP pf1 AA pf1 ATI pf1
uptrend resumed Sell Fresh breakout
Sell Sell
Deutsche Tel (DTEGY) 3.32% yield - Telecom
 Siemens AG*** 2.69% yield Electr. & Eng.    Money Flow Descending 12-month performance vs. SP500 12-month performance vs. Goud 
DTEGY pf1  SIEGY pf1 recession1 FLOW recession1 RRG SPX recession1 RRG Gold
 Short term Stop Loss
 Short term Stop loss

Other shares which can be considered (with compliments of Ron Meisels) are BMY (Bristol Meyers - Alzheimer), CBB (Cincinnati bell-telecom), CTC/A.TO  (Canadian tire),  EAT (Brinker), OCX.TO (Onex corp), ELN (elan corp), MYE, PFE, LLY (Eli Lilly)

Summary of safe sectors: Utilities, Telecommunication, Agricultural sector, Chemicals, Low Order Consumer Goods, water distribution...

  • Cisco is working on a new core router technology with a speed of 400 Gigabits per second per slot. The new router/system will have a capacity of 1 Petabit per second. This new technology can provide all of New York with streaming HD video. A core router is the very center of the internet.
  • The cheapest airline in the Americas? Copa Airlines has $763 million or $17.22 per share in cash in the bank and pays a $3.84 annual dividend, which translates to close to a 3.4% yield. The next quarterly dividend is scheduled to be paid in early March. That airline is Panama-based Copa Holdings, which specializes in Central and South America with 325 daily flights to 29 countries in North, Central, and South America. Copa Holdings offers city-to-city flights that none of its competitors does. The Latin American market is one of the fastest-growing airline markets in the world, and Copa Holdings is one of the prime beneficiaries of that growth. In fact, in the most recent period (November 2014), Copa Holdings reported a 9.9% year-over-year increase in passenger traffic.
  • Utilities can pass on cost hikes to the consumer.
  • Telecommunications (Internet) will become a lot more important as energy becomes expensive. More and more people will work out of home instead of commuting.
  • November 7, 2012: NEWBIES are Novartis (Swiss health care) and Syngenta (Swiss agriculture). Novartis (NVS: 51.66, -1.11) was born in 1996 as a result of the merger of two Swiss drug makers, Ciba-Geigy and Sandoz. Acquisitions have continued to be a key element in the firm's growth and diversification efforts.
  • Unilever is a globally diversified consumer-oriented company. With operations in just about every country and a long history of developing business units in emerging markets, it is ideally placed to benefit from the expanding middle classes, particularly in the world's population centers. The company is active in Asia, Africa, and Central & Eastern Europe.
  • France Telecom is #1 French telecommunication company is just like Telefonica a high yielding Telephone Utility company active in France but also in Africa. Telefonica (TEF: 16.92, -0.405) has long been thought of as a Spanish company, but it actually has one of the more international profiles in the telecom sector with roughly two-thirds of revenues coming from outside its homeland. Latin America is a substantial market, as are other European countries such as the UK, Ireland, Germany, Czech Republic, and Slovakia.  The company recently entered the Chinese market via an equity stake in China Unicom. Sales in 2010 rebounded strongly, and operations returned to profitability.  The generous dividend of 8.2% appears secure. (November 2011)
  • Procter & Gamble (P&G) plans to infuse more than INR 15bn over a period of time in its unlisted Indian arm P&G Home Products to enhance operations in the country. In order to execute the transaction, the authorized share capital of P&G Home Products Ltd (PGHP) has been increased from INR 0.3bn (30mn equity shares of INR 10 each) to INR 0.5bn (50mn shares of INR 10 each). P&G India, which markets brands, including Vicks, Ariel, Tide, Whisper, Pantene, among others has been achieving double-digit growth consistently for over a decade and is one of P&G's fastest growing markets globally. The company caters to over 650 mn consumers across India and has a presence in various verticals. Including beauty and grooming household care and health and well-being segment.
  • Wal-Mart has become America's #1 retailer.

recession proof

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