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Recession Proof Shs (LOCG)

Updated Nov 1, 2018  - LOW ORDER CONSUMER GOODS SHARES are REAL ASSETS...end of 5th and Final upleg?!

Markets will continue to go up as long as Central Banks continue to print/create Money...see Communicating Financial Vessels

Indexes, prices have broken out through the TOP of the Trend Channels and we have an acceleration...which also may warn us a correction may NOT  be for tomorrow...but there is little doubt in my mind we shall see it in 2018.
Stock markets always go up a Wall of Worry...This is WHY you MUST let your winning stocks run and cut your losses short using Trailing Stops!

This is LEG #5 and the last upleg...CAUTION + we have a ROTATION from a Bull into a Bear market (Oct '18)!

Composite Index

recessionproof perfo 2014
Performance is 16.75% per year

Bullish Objective leg #5
Resistance na
Support 6,800
Bearish Objective 4800
Technical Pattern end of 5th and Final Upleg

 Utility Index has been moved to section: BONDS USA & GENERAL (where it belongs)...click here


COMPQ pf1

Short Term Candle  
COMPQ candle1
  • Oct 18: Index bouncing up its 200 day Moving Average indicates Leg#5 is not over yet.
  • Oct 28: see charts for support levels and targets....
  • Nov 1: Backtest.
  • Dec 10: this increasingly looks like a TOP FORMATION.
   
   

Note: instead of "SELLING" consider using "TRAILING STOPS". If you do sell, you MUST buy back the same  shares later on at a lower price level. Use trailing Stops once targets have been reached. Sell when the 200 day MA is violated (thin blue line on the PF charts) 

  • Dow Jones Utility index target is Old Historic Top ...and because of QE we'll  see a Dow Jones level of 30,000 and higher..
  • Stocks (and some utilities) are A LOT safer than Bonds as they can roll over the higher exploitation cost onto the Customers! (The Greek & Spanish Governments are taxing the people through the electricity bill). Remember at that Utilities did not beat Gold and won't beat Gold over the next years! Always remember that the system doesn't stall during a depression...and that stocks are sometimes used instead of paper money....
Yields for Dec, 2018: ... CAUTION - use trailing stops...do not sell any positions...this market and these shares don't feel like coming down yet....don't BUY red labelled stocks!!
 Dec 2018: This starts to look like a TOP FORMATION!

Color Codes: Orange = Hold/Buy , Green = Buy , Red = Do NOT buy (Stop Loss), White = ???
Advanced Micro Dev (AMD)
Meyers (MYE)
General Electric (GE)
Twitter (TWTR) - na yield
Jacobs Engi.(JEC)
AMD pf1 MYE pf1 stock deleted TWTR pf1 JEC pf1
 breakout aborted = SELL
bear trap = BUY
Breakout = buy
Construction serv. -
     
US-Steel (X) Procter & Gamble (PG)  - 3.26% yield Orange (ORAN) 2.51% yield Cisco (CSCO)** 3.75% yield Descartes(DSG.TO) 0.60%yield ***
X pf1 PG pf1  ORAN pf1 CSCO pf1 DSGto candle2
STOP LOSS... 
Houshold care
Telecommunication  software - breakout
EBAY  Deere (DE) 1.99 % yield Dow Chem.(DWDP) 3.00 % yield Alcoa (AA) 1.32 % yield Allegheni (ATI)
EBAY pf1 DE pf1 DOW pf1 AA pf1 ATI pf1
Internet shop Agricultural mach.   Chemicals Aluminium & Constr  ??
       
  Siemens AG*** 2.69% yield   Deutsche Tel (DTEGY) 3.32% yield
     SIEGY pf1 DTEGY pf1  
Electronics & Eng. 
Telecommunication
Breakout stalls = Sell

 

Other shares which can be considered (with compliments of Ron Meisels) are:  BMY (Bristol Meyers - Alzheimer), CBB (Cincinati bell-telecom), CTC/A.TO  (canadian tire),  EAT (Brinker), OCX.TO (Onex corp), ELN (elan corp), MYE, PFE, LLY (Eli Lilly)

Summary of safe sectors: Utilities, Telecommunication, Agricultural sector, Chemicals, Low Order Consumer Goods, water distribution...

  • Cisco is working on a new core router technology  with a speed of 400 Gigabits per second per slot. The new router/system will have a capacity of 1 Petabit per second. This new technology can provide all of New York with streaming HD video. A core router is the very center of internet.
  • The cheapest airline in the Americas? Copa Airlines has $763 million or $17.22 per share in cash in the bank and pays a $3.84 annual dividend, which translates to close to a 3.4% yield. The next quarterly dividend is scheduled to be paid in early March. That airline is Panama-based Copa Holdings, which specializes in Central and South America with 325 daily flights to 29 countries in North, Central, and South America. Copa Holdings offers city-to-city flights that none of its competitors does. The Latin American market is one of the fastest-growing airline markets in the world, and Copa Holdings is one of the prime beneficiaries of that growth. In fact, in the most recent period (November 2014), Copa Holdings reported a 9.9% year-over-year increase in passenger traffic.
  • Utilities can pass on cost hikes to the consumer.
  • Telecommunications (Internet) will become a lot more important as energy becomes expensive. More and more people will work out of home instead of commuting.
  • November 7, 2012: NEWBIES are Novartis (Swiss health care) and Syngenta (Swiss agriculture). Novartis (NVS  : 51.66, -1.11) was born in 1996 as a result of the merger of two Swiss drug makers, Ciba-Geigy and Sandoz. Acquisitions have continued to be a key element in the firm's growth and diversification efforts.
  • Unilever is a globally diversified consumer oriented company. With operations in just about every country and a long history of developing business units in emerging markets, it is ideally placed to benefit from the expanding middle classes, particularly in the world's population centres. The company is active in Asia, Africa and Central & Eastern Europe.
  • France telecom is #1 French telecommunication company is just like Telefonica a high yielding Telephone Utility company active in France but also in Africa.Telefonica (TEF  : 16.92, -0.405) has long been thought of as a Spanish company, but it actually has one of the more international profiles in the telecom sector with roughly two-thirds of revenues coming from outside its homeland. Latin America is a substantial market, as are other European countries such as the UK, Ireland, Germany, Czech Republic and Slovakia.  The company recently entered the Chinese market via an equity stake in China Unicom. Sales in 2010 rebounded strongly, and operations returned to profitability.  The generous dividend of 8.2% appears secure. (November 2011)
  • Procter & Gamble (P&G) plans to infuse more than INR 15bn over a period of time in its unlisted Indian arm P&G Home Products to enhance operations in the country. In order to execute the transaction, the authorised share capital of P&G Home Products Ltd (PGHP) has been increased from INR 0.3bn (30mn equity shares of INR 10 each) to INR 0.5bn (50mn shares of INR 10 each). P&G India, which markets brands, including Vicks, Ariel, Tide, Whisper, Pantene, among others has been achieving double-digit growth consistently for over a decade and is one of P&G's fastest growing markets globally. The company caters to over 650 mn consumers across India and has presence in various verticals. Including beauty and grooming household care and health and well being segment.
  • Wal-Mart has become America's #1 retailer.

recession proof

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