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Oil Shares

Updated  May 6, 2023 - An Oil & Energy War is happening...The END of the Dollar - World War III!?


$XOI oil share index

BPENER oilsharesOverbought-Oversold ratio: Buy

oil pump Bullish Objective 1,620 XOIGold pf1Oil Index in Gold:
BEARISH: -75% to go
Resistance 980
Support 500
Bearish Objective n.a.
Technical pattern BREAKOUT?!

Russia has become the biggest exporter of Oil & Gas, and American Oil corporations are taking advantage of the Ukraine war to settle in the country. The EU is the biggest victim of the shift.

"The COVID-19 & the Big Depression of the 21st Century need LESS CRUDE OIL."
The sector will also be adversely affected by the DEPRESSION. [politics are flipping 180%]

However, we expect HIGHER Oil shares (higher FIAT prices) and not lower!


XOI pf1
Short term candle
Chart comment
XOI candle1
  • Jan 11 - Feb 11, 2016: BOTTOM formation
  • Jan 14, 2017: Bull Run
  • Jan 7, 2018: broken up the Head & Shoulders pattern = bullish
  • Jan 8 - Feb 18, 2019: BUY
  • Jan 7, 2020: Oil shares to profit from higher oil prices
  • Jan 16 - Mar 18, 2021: positive correction as oil price tries to recover its marginal production cost/price...and GAPS are closed.
  • Sept 1 - 18: "Maturing" Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern?
  • Jan. 4, 2022: Bullish Head & shoulder + Target on PF-chart is 1,620
  • Feb. 16: SELL but buy the correction/dip.
  • Mar 20: 1,600 is the next Target.
  • Apr. 25 - May 13: Target hit...running into heavy resistance = SELL!
  • July 3: Ukraine peak!?
  • Aug. 18 - Sep. 18: This is a SELL...(or a BUY..depending on the Oil share. See PF charts below.)
  • Oct. 27: Overbought and still a SELL...except if we have a Breakout.
  • Dec. 7: expect a higher beginning of 2023.
  • Jan. 16, 2023: Overbought and a BREAKOUT!
  • Mar. 6: OverSOLD and still a BREAKOUT.
  • Apr. 2: Overbought but still a BREAKOUT.
  • May 6: a BUY it is: Key Reversal
Long term candle
XOI candle2

Oil drillers & services

Oil shares - Yields Aug. 2022 - Green colored charts = Bull trends, Red = bear trends, White = sideward & we don't know yet!
Click on the company's name to be redirected to its home page...
If present STOPS are confirmed, the Oil shares will reverse their trend.[*Caution - OXY fundamentals!!]
Marathon(MRO)
Occident. (OXY) BP
Exxon (XOM) Conoco (COP) Schlumberger (SLB)
USA USA Britain USA USA USA
MRO pf1 OXY pf1 small BP pf1 XOM pf1 small COP pf1 SLB pf1 small
1.39% yield
0.82% yield
4.34% yield
3.81% yield
1.92% yield
1.96% yield
Oil drillers & services
Halliburton (HAL) Devon-Energy(DVN)
Helmerich (HP) Obsidian Eng. (OBE.TO) CENOVUS (CVE) Baker Hughes (BKR)
HAL_pf1 DVN pf1 HP pf1 OBEto pf1 CVE pf1 BHGE pf1
1.70% yield
9.75% yield
2.45% yield
na yield - Driller 1.84% yield 2.85 % yield
Non-North American Oil companies
Rosneft (ROSN.L) Petrochina (PTR) Royal Dutch(RDSb) Total (TOT) Can Nat Res (CNQ)  Petrobas (PBR)
ROSNL pf1 Discontinued - Politicians don't like China. RDSb pf2 TOTAL CNQ pf1 PBR pf1
SANCTIONS - Russia 57.77% yield 100 % China
8.09% yield
Netherlands
3.79% yield
5.31% yield 4.28% yield 
  Brazil
50.33% yield
Non-North American Oil companies
Equinor (EQNR) Norway Enerplus Corp (ERF) BP Prudhoe Bay(BPT) Royalty Repsol (Spain) Sasol(SSL) Trans Can. Pipeline (TRP.TO)
    40% China South Africa
Canada
EQNR pf1 ERF pf1 BPT pf1 REPYY pf1 SSL pf1 TRPto pf1 small
1.91% yield 1.40% yield
20.77% yield  
5.38% yield
Diesel @ $60/bbl
na % yield
5.54% yield
           
    Money Flow Decreasing 12-mo performance vs. SP500 12-mo performance vs.Gold
      oil FLOW oil RRG SPX oil RRG Gold

OIH candle3

  • There are dysfunction and craziness in the Oil markets, and sooner or later, it will backlash. The results can be devastating. Because of the manipulation of the paper oil markets (Derivatives), we expect a collision between physical supply and demand. (January 2009)

  • People in the oil industry are not seeing any demand destruction. Only the talking heads are seeing it. We rather have supply destruction because of these unrealistic low prices.

  • # 1 Enemy of Oil is the government that will steal the money where it is. The latest best example was BP and the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico...Joe Six-pack has become too blind to see through the political game...Windfall profit taxes: there always is a possibility to see these again. However, the power of Democrats has been curtailed...and we have peak oil. The sector is running into the 2008 resistance and needs to build some stamina before higher levels are seen. Restrictions on drilling in the USA are about to be lifted...Drillers will profit.

  • Oil stocks offer excellent diversification, pay a dividend, are SAFE, and will go up a lot higher: Occidental Petroleum or Oxy is our absolute favorite, followed by Marathon Oil! The Trans Canada pipeline is a strong buy. Don't forget Imperial Oil, Royal Dutch, and Statoil.

Note:

  • Andeavor(ANDV) Take Overbid - Tesoro (TSO) + Western Refining =Andeavor-2.03% - no longer traded after Marathon Petroleum took over the co.
  • Marathon Oil paid out $ 20.07 per share in 2011. We used the funds to increase the position to 162 shares.
  • Conoco broke out in May 2013.
  • Royal Dutch's new target (June 2014) is $ 90
  • BP Prudhoe Bay (BPT) has a dividend yield of 10.57 %
  • Baker Hughes TAKE OVER BID by Halliburton for $38 bn - share valued at $78.62
  • Shell took over BG (British Gas) - in April 2015.
  • Bellatrix: Net income rose from $67,000 in 2013 to $ 140,000 for 2014
  • Venezuela’s PDVSA is close to a deal with Schlumberger (SLB) in order to bolster the company’s presence in Venezuela. Schlumberger had announced its decision to curtail operations in the country after PDVSA ran up billions of dollars in unpaid bills with the oilfield services giant. Venezuela’s oil minister says, "There are 14 Schlumberger drills that will start operations soon under a different financing scheme." Schlumberger did not comment.[June 2016]
  • TransCanada (TRP) won contracts on Monday from the Mexican government to build a $3.6 billion natural gas pipeline from Texas to the Mexican city of Tuxpan in the state of Veracruz on the Gulf Coast.

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