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Gold-$

Updated May 17-26, 2023, Gold is not an investment; it's money and Insurance. The only currency without liability and counterparty risk.

"THIS IS THE EVOLUTION OF THE FIAT-PAPER-GOLD PRICE ONLY!"

Fresh Breakout (July 6, 2021) of FIAT PAPER GOLD: $ 2,800 is the next target!

Gold price rally will power to $2,700, then $7,400

You either take physical delivery of your Gold and store it out of political reach in a VAULT, or you stay in worthless Fiat paper. If you buy Gold, you MUST request physical delivery AND store it out of Political reach. If you don't, THEY will take it from you.

"Soon, Gold will be used as Money again because people will stop trusting currencies!"

The gold price is likely to explode as a result of the debt crisis, combined with the impact of the negative "real" interest rates ruling in many major economies...certainly, after the manipulation, Central Bankers, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan failed...the day is close it will and from that day on prices can double overnight!

Backwardation is a pricing phenomenon in the futures markets where the price of an asset now is higher relative to the price of that same asset in the future.

	Gold must take out $ 1381 to officially end the 2011 bear correction.
	Bullish Target	$2,700 - $4,200	Major ONE is up from $ 256 to $ 1015
	Resistance	$2080	Major TWO is down from $ 1015 to $ 700
	Support	$1,920 - $1820	Major THREE is up from $ 700 to $ 3500
	Bearish Target	na	Major FOUR is down $ 3500 to $ 2700
special rule PF3 chart	Technical	Breakout + Fresh Upleg	Major FIVE up $ 2500 to $ 30,000

GLD is an ETF and should not be bought as an investment.


May 26: Gap closed & Breakout!	May 18: Strong Buy.	May 18: Target $300	The target is $320	Aug 28, 2017: The target calculation is $196

PF2-target-calculation: green shaded!

We have seen only the Hors d’ oeuvres before the arrival of the main meal. The overt suppression of Gold and Silver prices has a minimal shelf life for the informed investor. We know better: Precious metals offer one way out. However, the Government, the Fed, and mainline media do all in their power to distort and discredit such investments. The alternative to the deflationary depression, which will be WORSE than what was seen in the 1930s and is sold each time the price of Gold is in a correction, is the unlimited creation of paper and electronic money throughout the Western World. Recognizing this by all will propel both gold and silver to new and unseen highs over the next couple of years. The banking system leverage and the derivatives will ramp things up beyond imagination. Worst case scenario, Gold and Silver could keep meddling for a couple of more weeks but trying to make some extra bucks by getting out NOW and getting back at a lower level can be extremely difficult and not worth the effort. (January 2012)

In March 2019, the "BIS" & Co's sold 2.2 Mio + 5.5 Mio = 7.7 Mio Paper Gold: the impact on the price was marginal!

The longer a consolidation/accumulation lasts, the stronger the coming Bull/Bear run will be once the manipulation fails.

Short candle-pf1	Chart comment
	Jan 4, 2016: if this is no BOTTOM, I'll eat my Hat! Jan 3, 2017: new upleg Jan 3, 2018: let's see what 2018 brings. Dec 20 - Jan 3, 2019: $-Gold has broken the 200-day MA April 1: Gold remains in a short-term uptrend...even after BIS dumped 5.5 million Gold Futures this past week. Jan 27, 2020: bull run (NOT because of the Corano-virus! Dec 11 - Feb 2, 2021: and up it goes...Target is $2,300 - $2,800 Aug 9: SUPER BUY at this level ($1,760) Sep 16 -29: fresh price hammering...$1,720 is a STRONG support Oct 7 - Nov 3: Strong BUY! Nov. 22: Bn $2.5 dumped onto the market in 1 minute wasn't even able to mark any changes on our PF charts. Dec 21- Feb. 8, 2022: next target is $2,800 Mar. 3-15: breaking out a Bullish Flag and fresh bull run. June 10: bullish key reversal. July 1 - 12: SUPER BUY at this level. Aug 4: Island Reversal? Sep. 6 - Oct. 14: We had a DOUBLE BOTTOM - Strong Buy. Dec. 3: next Target is $2,000. Feb. 13-15, 2023: Strong Buy !!! [spinning bottom] Mar. 20: once the $2,020 resistance is broken, the target is $2,700-$2,800 Apr. 18: preparing for higher. May 17: $2,020 - $2,050 must and will be broken for higher.
Long Candle

Note that the CONGESTION zones ( I, II, III, IV) are larger over time. Larger zones point to a higher vacuum and higher TARGETS for the price of Gold. Technically speaking, the LARGER the congestion zone, the higher the TARGET.

Gold cycles

This is a disconnect and a huge opportunity. Gold shares usually lead Gold during upswings...click here for more. This time, however, SILVER leads (2020-2021).

our Gold-Silver ratio tells us when to buy/sell gold & silver

SilverGold ratio1

Fibonacci levels and cycles: Fibonacci levels are key resistance and support levels. These levels exist and can be seen all over nature.

These are the cycles for $-Gold: Active cycle is Major THREE up to $ 3500

Major ONE is up from $ 256 to $ 1015
Major TWO is down from $ 1015 to $ 700
Major THREE is up from $ 700 to $ 3500
Major FOUR down from $ 3500 to $ 2500
Major FIVE up from $ 2500 to $ 10,000/30,000

Gold congestion zones and subsequent bull runs: “Time is more important than price; when time is up, the price will reverse. (W. Gann)”

Previous congestion zones lasted up to TWO YEARS...[click to enlarge] The larger the congestion zone, the more and the longer the manipulation, the higher Target!

leg 1 from $ 430 to $ 720 (September 06 to May 07) + 67% - done
leg 2 from $ 700 to $ 1,000 (September 07 to April 08) +43% - done
leg 3 from $ 950 to $ 1,300 (September 09 to October 2010) +30% - done
leg 4 from $ 1300 to $ 1920 (October 2010 to August 2011) +46% - done
leg 5 from $ 1180 to $ 3500? (August 2016 to >>>>>>>>>???)

2011- 2014 - 2015 -2016 Gold shake-out:

Dead and Golden crosses on the Moving Averages: the 64-week Moving Average is an important support and resistance level.

Note that the 64-week Moving Average is still BULLISH for Gold!

Check the Elliott Wave chart to the right with a bullish objective of $ 31,600.

Accumulation	Constellations	Elliott Wave 1	Elliott Wave 2

2020-22: Strong Buy	BEAR TRAP + Strong Buy!	Fibonacci	Golden section

The "Weak Gold Policy" has been in place since $248, meaning gold's appreciation will not insult the dollar/euro by spiking to $3500 and beyond but rather rise in an orderly fashion.
To have a bubble in Gold, the price should soar to $5500 before year-end. At this time, there is absolutely NO top formation visible, nor have we an exponential exhaustion run.
Gold is in a secular bull market, meaning dips must be bought when they occur.
Are you still buying? Chinese, Mexican, and Russian Central Banks continue to buy Gold.
We are sure it will rise to $2500 - $3500 (and higher) once the manipulation stops working.
Gold is traditionally bought as a hedge against inflation and deflation risks and will rally to record levels as central banks have engaged in unorthodox monetary policies and printed money to restart growth in the wake of the 2008/09 financial crisis.

Large traders and investors increasingly buy DIRECT from producers (mines), shortcutting the LME and COMEX.
Once gold exits this range that it’s been in for a considerable time, it will exit violently to the upside. I keep saying it, but the physical market is gradually overcoming the paper market, and the paper market, in a word, is preposterous.” (May 2012)
The gold market, as we all know, on a day-to-day basis, is totally rigged. In fact, find a market anywhere that is not bullied by some young buck who considers himself the Master of the Universe.
A steeper channel (acceleration) comes with higher volatility.
We have fractional Gold, and the relationship between physical Gold to paper gold is at least 500:1 [the large banks are on the short side - so don't expect these to advise you to buy gold and to take physical delivery - hope you're warned]
We advise you to keep up to 65% of your savings in physical Gold/Silver.
If you have no physical Gold, you have NO money.

We never experienced a weak price of Gold during a cycle of 'real negative interest rates! Remember that a weak dollar does not drive the price of Gold and that we have and may see Gold and the Dollar rise in tandem again. Central bankers dislike gold because it is a monetary metal and manage Fiat (paper money) currencies. Therefore when gold rises strongly or persistently against a currency, it signals that CBs are printing too much of it. The theory of Keynes that the Great Depression was due to the contraction in the money supply because of the Gold Standard is incorrect. The opposite is true. Few know Keynes was, in fact, a Government employee...Like John Law was an employee of the French court...