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  • The Goldonomic site is for serious investors only. It is run by talented people with Master's Degrees in Economics and years of experience. Initially and historically, the site is meant to be a source of information for professional investors mainly. The information  is of a high level and requires an open mind and reasoning.

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  • Comparing the currencies is like picking the prettiest horse in the glue factory. The history of all fiat currencies shows they all end up being valueless. Gold’s nobody else’s liability and it has no counterparty risk. It’s provided protection against destruction of wealth for centuries and we’re at the cusp of another major chapter in its illustrious history.

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Gold-$

July 12-17,  2024: Gold is not an investment; it's money and Insurance—the only currency without liability and counterparty risk.


THE BIG BREAKOUT!? (Dec '23)  - A POWDER KEG? (Feb '24)

"THIS IS THE EVOLUTION OF THE FIAT-PAPER-GOLD PRICE ONLY!"

Fresh Breakout (July 6, 2021) of FIAT PAPER GOLD: $ 2,800 is the next target!

Gold price rally will power to $2,700, then $7,400

 You either take physical delivery of your Gold and store it out of political reach in a VAULT,  or you stay in worthless Fiat paper. If you buy gold, you MUST request physical delivery AND store it outside of political reach. If you don't, THEY will take it from you.


  Gold must take out $ 1381 to officially end the 2011 bear correction.
    Bullish Target $3,200 - $4,200
   Major ONE is up from $ 256 to $ 1015
    Resistance $2,800
   Major TWO is down from $ 1015 to $ 700
    Support $2,125
   Major THREE is up from $ 700 to $ 3500
    Bearish Target $ 1,780
   Major FOUR is down  $ 3500 to $ 2700
 Special rule PF3 chart     Technical Breakout-Bull Run
   Major FIVE up $ 2500 to $ 30,000

GLD is an ETF and should not be bought as an investment.

July 12: Strong Buy
July 12: Breakout
July 12: Target $300
The target is $320 Aug 28, 2017: The target calculation is $196

PF2-target-calculation: green shaded!

   We only saw the Hors d’ oeuvres before the arrival of the main meal. The overt suppression of Gold and Silver prices has a minimal shelf life for the informed investor. We know better: Precious metals offer one way out. However, the Government, the Fed, and mainline media do all in their power to distort and discredit such investments. The alternative to the deflationary depression, which will be WORSE than what was seen in the 1930s and is sold each time the price of Gold is in a correction, is the unlimited creation of paper and electronic money throughout the Western World. Recognizing this by all will propel both gold and silver to new and unseen highs over the next couple of years.  The banking system leverage and the derivatives will ramp things up beyond imagination. In the worst-case scenario, Gold and Silver could keep meddling for a couple of more weeks, but trying to make some extra bucks by getting out NOW and getting back at a lower level can be extremely difficult and not worth the effort. (January 2012)   

In March 2019, the "BIS" & Co's sold 2.2 Mio + 5.5 Mio = 7.7 Mio Paper Gold: the impact on the price was marginal!

The longer a consolidation/accumulation lasts, the stronger the coming Bull/Bear run will be
once the manipulation fails.  July 21, 2023 - PF technical target is $4,200.

Short candle-pf1
Chart comment

  • Jan 4, 2016: If this is no BOTTOM, I'll eat my Hat!
  • Jan 3, 2017: New upleg
  • Jan 3, 2018: Let's see what 2018 brings.
  • Dec 20 - Jan 3, 2019: $-Gold has broken the 200-day MA
  • Jan 27, 2020: Bull run (NOT because of the Coronavirus!
  • Dec 11 - Feb 2, 2021: And up it goes...Target is $2,300 - $2,800
  • Nov. 22: Bn $2.5 dumped onto the market in 1 minute wasn't even able to mark any changes on our PF charts.
  • Dec 21- Feb. 8, 2022: next target is $2,800
  • Feb. 13-15, 2023: Strong Buy !!! [spinning bottom]
  • Mar. 20: The target is $2,700-$2,800
  • May 17: $2,020 - $2,050 must and will be broken for higher.
  • Nov. 5- Jan 6, 2024: Ready for the BIG BREAKOUT!?
  • Feb. 6: a POWDER KEG is it, and expect the Big Breakout soon, probably before the end of April.
  • March 1 -5: The critical BREAKOUT levels are $2,080 - $2,180.
  • Mar. 8: a small correction is possible. See support level on PF chart.
  • Apr. 3: This is the momentum brought by the "Pattern X."
  • Apr. 12: Hopefully, we will see some correction before we go higher.
  • Apr. 23 - May 1st: correction!
  • June 1-15: We will probably see higher before the summer correction.
  • July 12: fresh breakout and bull run.
Long Candle

Note that the CONGESTION zones ( I, II, III, IV) are larger over time. Larger zones point to a higher vacuum and higher TARGETS for the price of Gold. Technically speaking, the LARGER the congestion zone, the higher the TARGET.


This is a disconnect and a huge opportunity. Gold shares usually lead Gold during upswings...click here for more. This time, however, SILVER leads (2020-2021).


Our gold-silver ratio tells us when to buy/sell gold & silver


Fibonacci levels and cycles: Fibonacci levels are key resistance and support levels. These levels exist and can be seen all over nature.

These are the cycles for $-Gold: Active cycle is Major THREE up to $ 3500

  • Major ONE is up from $ 256 to $ 1015
  • Major TWO is down from $ 1015 to $ 700
  • Major THREE is up from $ 700 to $ 3500
  • Major FOUR down from $ 3500 to $ 2500
  • Major FIVE up from $ 2500 to $ 10,000/30,000

Gold congestion zones and subsequent bull runs: “Time is more important than price; when time is up, the price will reverse. (W. Gann)”

Previous congestion zones lasted up to TWO YEARS...[click to enlarge] The larger the congestion zone, the more and the longer the manipulation, the higher the Target!

  • Leg one from $ 430 to $ 720 (September 06 to May 07) + 67% - done
  • leg two from $ 700 to $ 1,000 (September 07 to April 08) +43% - done
  • leg 3 from $ 950 to $ 1,300 (September 09 to October 2010) +30% - done
  • leg four from $ 1300 to $ 1920 (October 2010 to August 2011) +46% - done
  • leg five from $ 1180 to $ 3500? (August 2016 to >>>>>>>>>???)

2011- 2014 - 2015 -2016  Gold shake-out:


Dead and Golden Crosses on the Moving Averages: The 64-week Moving Average is an important support and resistance level.


Note that the 64-week moving average is still BULLISH for Gold!


Check the Elliott Wave chart to the right with a bullish objective of $ 31,600.

 

Accumulation Constellations Elliott Wave 1 Elliott Wave 2
2020-23: Strong Buy
 Strong Buy!
Fibonacci Golden section

 

  • The "Weak Gold Policy" has existed since $248, meaning gold's appreciation will not insult the dollar/euro by spiking to $3500 and beyond but rather rise in an orderly fashion.
  • To create a bubble in gold, the price should soar to $5,500 before year-end. There is no top formation, nor have we had an exponential exhaustion run.
  • Gold is in a secular bull market, meaning dips must be bought when they occur.
  • Are you still buying? Chinese, Mexican, and Russian central banks continue to buy gold.
  • Once the manipulation stops working, we are sure it will rise to $2500 - $3500 (and higher).
  • Gold is traditionally bought as a hedge against inflation and deflation risks. It will rally to record levels as central banks engage in unorthodox monetary policies and print money to restart growth after the 2008/09 financial crisis.
  • Large traders and investors increasingly buy DIRECT from producers (mines), shortcutting the LME and COMEX.
  • Once gold exits this range, it’s been in for a considerable time. It will exit violently to the upside.  I keep saying it, but the physical market is gradually overcoming the paper market, and the paper market, in a word, is preposterous.” (May 2012)
  • As we all know, the gold market is rigged daily. Find a market anywhere that is not bullied by some young buck who considers himself the Master of the Universe.
  • A steeper channel (acceleration) comes with higher volatility.
  • We have fractional gold, and the relationship between physical gold and paper gold is at least 500:1 [the large banks are on the short side, so don't expect these to advise you to buy gold and to take physical delivery - hope you're warned]
  • We advise you to keep up to 85% of your savings in physical gold/silver.
  • If you have no physical gold, you have NO money.

We never experienced a weak price of gold during a cycle of really negative interest rates! Remember that a weak dollar does not drive the price of gold, and we may see gold and the dollar rise in tandem again. Central bankers dislike gold because it is a monetary metal and manage Fiat (paper money) currencies. Therefore, when gold rises strongly or persistently against a currency, it signals that CBs are printing too much of it. Keynes' theory that the Great Depression was due to the contraction in the money supply because of the gold standard is incorrect. The opposite is true. Few know Keynes was, in fact, a Government employee...Like John Law was an employee of the French court...


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31
August
2018

AUGUST'18 (public)

“The winner takes it all, the loser standing small” (Abba song) is the next phase in the world economy.

Categories: Gold-$, Silver, US Dollar, News, The Gold pool, Euro and €-Gold, Oil Shares, World Stock Market Indexes

01
November
2012

Nov. 6 : Gold, silver soar in a most unusual fashion

This is what an intermediary bottom looks like in the media

Categories: Gold-$, Silver, Gold & Silver Majors, Gold & Silver Juniors, News, Investing for dummies

26
October
2011

2008 Gold postings

Categories: Gold-$, Press

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