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Silver Targets

Posted October 2022


Posted September 2022

If you utilize the base year of 1913 to calculate a notional price of silver and gold relative to the dollars in circulation, we find that the price in 1913 for gold was $28.68 per oz. and silver $2.65 per oz. Using the same base, today's prices would be gold at $9081 per oz. and silver at $1226 per oz. This is a far cry from the market price we see right now of gold at $1700 and Silver at $19.50. A long way to catch up.

Looking at the gold: silver ratio, we also see a total disconnect from reality. Moving from 96.5:1 recently to a current ratio of about 86:1, a move in the right direction towards the ratio of 7:1, at which the miners are currently recovering silver to gold, indicates to me something brewing in the market. Assuming the current price of gold is around $1700.00 at a ratio of 7:1, silver would be around $250 per ounce.  If it only goes back to 16:1, which was historical, it gives a price of $106 per oz.

Updated October 7, 2020 - The inflation-adjusted price of Silver is $666 per oz. 

100 year silver 2020 04 24

silver 1979

Updated March 14, 2019 - We have a Deja Vue of a 1970-71 pattern!

  • shows a similar pattern as in 1970-71. After Silver broke out of this pattern, the Silver price soared by 308% in only 18 months.
Silver 1970 2019 308 Silver spike
The target after the breakout is $60 per oz. 1970-71 shows a similar formation proceeding with a 308% price hike in only 18 months' time.

updated February 7, 2019 - The longer the accumulation (correction), the higher the subsequent target

At the time of Alexander the Great, one TALENT (26 kg silver) was a lot of money. One kilogram of silver was worth € 427 or more than $15 per oz or about € 13/oz.

Silver cycle with a new price record not later than 2024.

silver targets Silver cyclus 2014

Price Target as seen by Elliott Wave technicians (Aug 2018):

Your Cup of Silver is ready: the target of Cup and Handle is $ 95

Silver cup is ready

The new Target is $ 145.......When the fundamentals are considered, the target for Silver is $ 200

silver delta silver obj-20 25
Delta-Silver-monthly: target $ 145
Medium-term Silver targets

June 21, 2015 - Resistance has become support

SILVER candle3
$-Silver objective for Wave II is $ 42,50 - €-Silver objective for Wave II is € 35: Silver has finished the 1st Wave cycle 1,2,3,4,5 and the subsequent ABC correction. Logically, it will, in the wake of Gold, reverse and start its Wave III cycle. The objective is $ 42,50 or 5 times the low. As of June 23, 2013, the MEDIUM TERM target is $ 70.

silver seasonaljune212013

Bullish months are November through early-late Spring. Bearish months are late Spring to early Summer.

 Price evolution for Silver from 1967 to 1976

Note Silver went up from 1976 until 1981 without any critical corrections.

February 2010.

Silver price evolution from 2002 until 2011 shows the correction of 2008-09.

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