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Miners & Gold vs SPX

14 February 2024 - Gold and Silver versus Gold - Silver Shares and Stock Market Indexes.

Gold and Silver shares will go up when the time is up! Why do investors hesitate to buy when assets are cheap and rush in when prices are soaring? Gold shares are CHEAP as CHIPS. Note that it sometimes takes 2-3 years before a market trend sets. Markets can stay for a longer time irrational than the average investor solvent...

"Also, see the section of Stock Market Indexes expressed in Real Money or Gold!"

"This time, however, looks different...Miners are UNDERPERFORMING compared to Gold = CAUTION!" It is important to realize Stock certificates have become dangerously digitalized, many "Transfer Agents" are in trouble, and Miners have to cope with rising energy prices and the hardship of these retard Green Environmentalists. Together with a lower gold/silver grade, this makes the sector less profitable.

People buying Gold at $252 in 1999 were paying the lowest absolute price for Gold in a century. They were investors. People buying silver at $4 in late 2001 were buying at the lowest absolute price in 5000 years. They were investors. You can rarely get hurt buying at record lows when a commodity's price is below the production cost.


This is a disconnect and maybe NOT an opportunity! Gold shares typically lead Gold during upswings...maybe not this time!

XAUGOLD pf2
Short term Candle
Chart comments
XAUGOLD candle1
  • Mar 1 - Dec 21, 2017: These charts indicate the expectations for Gold and Miners are absolutely Bearish & Negative = extremely Bullish!
  • May 10 - Dec 15, 2018: A BOTTOM & maturing BULLISH Head & Shoulders
  • May 25 - Jul 15, 2019: The gold-silver sector is a SCREAMING buy.
  • Feb 14 - Apr 14, 2020: This is just the beginning of something BIG!
  • Aug 11 - Oct 17: Miners are not performing as expected = DANGER
  • Nov 15 - Mar 9, 2021: Sideward.
  • Sep 16 - Dec. 30: BEAR TRAP and SUPER BUY - note we still have a BEARISH trend, or GOLD performs better than Miners.
  • Feb. 20, 2022: still a bear trend...miners are DIGITAL entities.
  • July 24 - Aug. 11: Note that the Index moves sideward while the Gold price shows an uptrend and performs better than miners and stocks.
  • Jan. 11 - Feb. 28, 2023: About to breakout and Bullish Trend Reversal.
  • August 6: A strong buy at this level.
  • Sep. 9: but still a DOWNTREND.
  • Oct. 12: Still a DOWNTREND..but a STRONG BUY.
  • Nov. 10 - Dec. 16: Sideward...PHYSICAL GOLD IS BETTER AND SAFER.
  • Jan. 16, 2024: More bottom building means a higher target!
  • Feb. 14: unless one must hold physical Gold and Silver...
Long term Candle
XAUGOLD candle2

Gold shares and the SP500 - Note the down-sloping LT trend for Gold!

XAUSPX candle4

Gold versus the Stock Markets (SP500): From now on (August 2019), we expect Gold and silver to perform better than the Stock Markets.

SPXGOLD month1994

Gold and Silver did perform better over the past. In particular since the year 2001. Comparing over a longer period doesn't make sense at all for obvious reasons. Also important is the future, what comes and not the past.

 

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