Updated May 18, 2023:   Bull Run and Historic Record...up to € 2,130!

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European Authorities can now LEGALLY steal bank deposits and block the withdrawal of smaller amounts. Because of the Bail-In legislation, any depositor has become a creditor! Hence the € 100,000 guarantee/insurance is a worthless JOKE. The US-Dollar momentarily plays the role of the Gold Standard. For European countries to grow again, they MUST leave the Euro and Euro-zone. The maximum amount of Gold one can buy/sell anonymously in Europe (EU) has been lowered to €3,000 (Germany) and €500 (Belgium). If you don't store your Physical Gold out of political reach, they will seize it from you!

Germany is repatriating its national gold, and I expect other EU countries to follow (The Netherlands and Switzerland). This action changes the end scenario for the Dollar and the Euro meaningfully. Europeans are adding REAL MONEY to their monetary system, which could now well be able to survive (under certain circumstances)  if there is Hyperinflation in the USA. That said, neither the US-Dollar nor the Euro is a safe currency. Gold, however, is still number one, and Silver number two! Hence one must use Fiat currencies to store short-term cash only AND hold Gold as security/real money. The remarkable PF chart for €-Gold shows a BULLISH WEDGE, and the Long Term Moving Average supports the price on the monthly Euro-Gold chart (to the left). Chart to the left = Special ratio PF chart for Gold with BREAKOUT and at historical top.

€ - Gold		All-time high	€ - Gold-month
Bullish Target	€ 2180
Resistance	€1860
Support	€ 1680
Bearish Objective	€ 1580
Technical pattern	Bull Run

"We started to advise to buy Gold in 2001/2002"

Short term candle	Chart comment-it is extremely important to ensure your gold is stored out of political reach.
	Jan 4, 2016: BREAKOUT on the short candle Feb 1, 2017: short candle points to HIGHER Euro-Gold Nov 22 - Feb 12, 2018: Gold has no way to go but UP !!! Jan 3 - Feb 5/19, 2019: also a breakout on PF-chart. Jan 4- Mar 6, 2020: fresh bull run March 24 - April 9: Bull run and new historic Top. Dec 18 - Feb 5, 2021: points to HIGHER Gold soon. Feb 26: a SCREAMING BUY! Oct 1: TWO uplegs divided by a HALFWAY FLAG. (super BUY) Oct 9 - Nov 17: Target is € 1.740 and € 2.100 after the breakout. Jan. 14 - Feb. 8, 2022: and higher we go! Mar. 4 - Apr. 10: Double Top breakout. May 10 - May 13: BUY NOW! Jan. 3, 2023: Still a STONG BUY...and beginning fresh upleg. Feb. 17: Bullish Spinning Bottom on the Candle chart. Mar. 24: Breakout, All Time High, and Backtest. Apr. 21 - May 18: are we about to see a Triple-Top breakout?!
Long term candle

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The Euro-Dollar: Secular trend of the Euro is up, and the Dollar is down.

€uro-Dollar-Index: since 2019, the ECB and the EURO have been controlled by Germany!
	Bullish Objectives	$1.18	XEU -1.28	Euro-Index Short-term Bullish - Long-Term ???.
	Resistance	$ 1.08	XEU -1.08
	Support	$ 0.98	XEU -1.02
	Bearish Objective	$ 0.98	XEU -0.99
	Technical Pattern	Euro vs. Dollar :	Euro-index

Note the Bullish Low-Pole Reversal in November 2022!

Short Candle - expect a HIGHER €	Long Candle: SELL CLIMAX & Trend Reversal?	Monthly - Trend Reversal!? = Expect a stronger Euro.
The public doesn't seem to realize that today the Dollar is in much worse shape than in 2017 and that one of these Lagarde will raise the Euro interest rate. (May 13, 2022)

Short Term Candle	Chart comment
	Jan 4, 2016: Support ($ 1.08) is holding well... Jan 26, 2017: - candles point to a HIGHER Euro Jan 4, 2018: running into minor resistance Jan 3 - Feb 5, 2019: 1.12 is a significant support level. Dec 30 - Feb 4, 2020: the Euro seems to be BREAKING UP Dec 3 - Mar 3, 2021: indeed - breaking out. Oct 9 - Nov. 17: the Euro suffers under the spiking price of Crude Oil and Natgas because all is invoiced in (Petro) Dollars. This will halt by the end of 2021. When it does, the price action on the Candle chart will result in a BEAR TRAP. Dec. 1 - Dec. 21: downside overshoot, support of MAL and super-buy Jan. 14 - Feb. 8, 2022: new Bull Run for the Euro. Mar. 4 - Apr. 10: Bull run aborted because of Ukraine...VERY OVERSOLD and STRONG SUPPORT. Don't expect much lower. May 10 - July 12 - Aug. 5 - Sep. 9 - Oct. 15: Ukraine BEAR TRAP and Bullish Divergence = Buy Euros NOW! Nov. 10: LOW POLE REVERSAL = Bullish for the Euro. Nov. 24 - Feb. 17, 2023: this could be a BEAR TRAP...or expect a stronger Euro and a weaker Dollar. Mar. 24 - May. 18: Technicals point to a stronger Euro and a weaker Dollar. [May 18, the Euro is OVERSOLD and the Dollar OVERBOUGHT]
Long Term Candle
The real value of the Euro	Lt chart with bullish divergence - resistance level is $ 1.22	Silver and the Euro:  The target is €34 or +100%

1. The Euro is not like the dollar in the least. Each country retained its identity but abandoned its currency without realizing they were, in fact, surrendering economic sovereignty. Capital is by buying German debt in Euro's forcing the Euro higher while, in fact, making repayment for the weaker countries (FPIIGS) even worse. Instead of lessening the debt, it is, in fact, appreciating at a time when the economy of the EU is declining. In other words, a story with a bad ending.
2. The demise of the euro and the return of national currencies will allow for the proper allocation of investments and resources. It is the best thing that could happen to the markets. 
3. The Euro-Dollar exchange rate is like the Devil dancing in holy water...During the process, a LOWER gold price can be overcome by a CRASHING Euro. This is a normal phenomenon during a DELEVERAGING process.
   The single currency functions so brilliantly that its vulnerable members (Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, Spain) are sliding toward bankruptcy. There is no way the Euro and the EU (a complex society) will survive expensive energy!
4. The ECB and IMF have BROKEN the back of the Euro Camel...You have to be out of your mind to stay invested in euros after what happened in Cyprus and what is happening in Greece. Remarkable is that the Euro remains so strong versus the US-Dollar...or does this happen because the US-Dollar is in more trouble than the Euro!?
5. The European Central Bank put a floor under the eurozone by agreeing last month to buy unlimited quantities of bonds of any troubled member state that accepts the conditions of a bailout program. ECB President Mario Draghi made clear the bank will use all its tools to defeat anyone betting on a break-up of the monetary union.
6. Remember, this is a CURRENCY WAR...and a synthetic Dollar Shortage (see Dollar Fundamentals), which an actual war could follow. The Cyprus holdup was a test case, and a similar happening can be seen in Europe (Greece?!) any day now... Also, one may NOT forget that the Middle East War and the inflow of refugees in Europe are part of the BIG picture.
7. The ECB doesn't have the flexibility the FED (Federal Reserve) has. However, to bail out Greece, Portugal, Italy, the EU, AND its Banks, they use exponential amounts of Fiat Money armed with DERIVATES and Credit Default Swaps. Those guys have lost any common sense. SWAPS and DERIVATIVES work in the short run, making the Global Financial System even more explosive.
   
8. Europe and the Euro are BANKRUPT, and now it's just guessing when the final act (the Black Swan) will land. DO NOT DELAY action... and be advised the authorities will take all they can on their path to death. Having said this, the Media/Press has never forecasted a Major Crash. On the contrary, they are excellent contrary indicators! Before the END GAME breaks lose, expect to see the Authorities do ANYTHING to let the Euro (and Greece, Portugal...) survive. The fact that Germany, Poland, and soon also Switzerland are repatriating their national Gold holdings may indicate that we may see severe problems with the US-Dollar first. Very hard to write a scenario. Like things look now (June 2015) the Euro may run into problems first. The endgame, however, has still not been played yet...everything is possible!
9. Why would one hold Fiat dollars and/or Euro? The Nominal Yield is almost zero and lower than the official inflation rate, and the Stock Market is collapsing….Real Estate is collapsing…The Banking system is in trouble...The bulk of derivatives is labeled in Dollars... imagine what can happen if the Chinese stop buying dollars...and this is exactly what they are doing. Check our investment table for the Fiat currencies we think is far better...more.
10. The Euro is just like the Dollar FIAT PAPER MONEY worth ZERO. However, it takes time before the Herd stops believing the Propaganda and static delivered by the Talking Heads and Authorities and becomes aware of this vast Ponzi scheme [Madoff was jailed for what they are doing]. Remember, Fiat paper money is not only paper but also DEBT. By holding on to it, you hold on to somebody else's DEBT...The Euro is a complex fiat currency resulting from a complex society (the EU) controlled by the ECB. According to Tainter, it will not survive the rising cost of energy. The Canadian and Australian dollars are stronger than the Fiat currencies (compared to the US-Dollar). Knowing that A LOT MORE DOLLARS can be sold (because there are more Dollars in circulation) than Euro is essential.

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